2024-09-252024/25:MJU3 · p.4MJUEnvironment & agriculture

Effects on greenhouse gas emissions

Reporting on the emissions effects of the new emissions trading system (ETS 2)

What's at stake: A dedicated report would give a clearer picture of how the emissions trading system and related reforms affect Sweden's climate goals, while its absence means follow-up continues within the existing annual climate reporting.

Case texts and AI reasoning are AI-translated from the Swedish originals; the Swedish text is authoritative.

What the vote decides

The question is whether the government should report on the combined greenhouse-gas effects of the reforms in the sectors covered by the new emissions trading system, or whether the regular climate reporting is sufficient.

Yes Yes — the committee proposal

The committee notes that the government is already required to describe the year's most important decisions and their effect on greenhouse gas emissions in the annual climate report, and finds no need for an additional report on the effects of the new emissions trading system. The committee sees the system's introduction as a first step that can help reduce emissions over time, even though pricing alone is unlikely to be enough to meet Sweden's commitments.

No No — the reservations

Reservation 4 (V, MP)

The reservation welcomes the introduction of the new emissions trading system but argues it should only complement other policy instruments, since it lacks an emissions cap and has a price cap that means it cannot replace measures such as a carbon tax. The reservation therefore wants the government to report on the combined greenhouse-gas effects of the reforms already made and planned in the sectors covered by the system, to ensure Sweden's emissions commitments are met.

Summarised from the committee report. Party labels in the summary come from the report, not from the vote.

VSMPCLKDMSD
YesNoAbstainAbsent

What do the votes mean here?

Yes The committee proposal: rejecting the motions (keeping things as they are).

No Backing the counter-proposal: reservation 4 by V, MP.

Abstain The party marks a position of its own that is not one of the two final alternatives.

What each plan points to — and how the party voted

For each party: the vote its own election manifesto and party programme point to in this case, next to how the party actually voted. A plan can only point to Yes or No; a party can also abstain.

PlanVoteConfidenceEvidence
Vown reservationNoNo 0/20/0/4follows the planconfidence: mediumderived
SNoYes 93/0/0/13departs from the planconfidence: mediumnot addressed
MPown reservationNoNo 0/14/0/4follows the planconfidence: mediumderived
CNoYes 21/0/0/3departs from the planconfidence: mediumnot addressed
LNoYes 13/0/0/3departs from the planconfidence: mediumnot addressed
KDNoYes 15/0/0/4departs from the planconfidence: lowderived
MYesYes 60/0/0/8follows the planconfidence: lownot addressed
SDYesYes 63/0/0/9follows the planconfidence: mediumnot addressed

Committee proposal

The Riksdag rejects the motion 2023/24:2907 by Elin Söderberg et al. (MP) demand 2.

Original (Swedish)

Riksdagen avslår motion 2023/24:2907 av Elin Söderberg m.fl. (MP) yrkande 2.

Riksdag decision: The government has proposed legislative amendments that introduce a new system for trading in emission allowances for fossil fuels. The Riksdag said yes to the amendments, which mean that more sectors than today are covered by EU-wide pricing of greenhouse gas emissions. This includes, among other things, emissions of carbon dioxide from the combustion of fuels from road transport and combustion of fuels in households and commercial buildings. With the legislative amendments, Swedish legislation is adapted to the EU's new emissions trading system, called ETS 2. The legislative amendments enter into force on 1 November 2024.

Counter-proposals

Plan vs actual vote

Every party, in chamber order: what its own plan pointed to, how it voted, and the reasoning behind both. Highlighted rows are where the two differ — but a vote that follows the plan is a result too, so the reasoning is there for every party.

VVänsterpartietNoNofollows the planderived

The plan demands that the government work with an emissions budget that ties climate goals to concrete, quantified proposals and that environmental goals be followed up sharply.

Plan documents: party programme · 2022 manifesto

Reasoning and quotes

The plan demands that the government work with an emissions budget that ties climate goals to concrete, quantified proposals and that environmental goals be followed up sharply. The counter-proposal's demand for a comprehensive report of the reforms' emissions effects is precisely such follow-up against the commitments. That trade only be a complement aligns with the plan seeing pricing and taxes as a complementary tool that needs to increase the cost of emissions over time, not as a replacement for other policy instruments.

Original (Swedish)

Planen kräver att regeringen arbetar med en utsläppsbudget som knyter ihop klimatmålen med konkreta, siffersatta förslag och att miljömålen följs upp skarpt. Motförslagets krav på en samlad redovisning av reformernas utsläppseffekter är just en sådan uppföljning mot åtagandena. Att handeln bara ska vara ett komplement stämmer med att planen ser prissättning och skatter som ett kompletterande verktyg som behöver öka kostnaden för utsläpp över tid, inte som ersättning för andra styrmedel.

  • emissions budget with quantified targetsdecisive»Vi vill att regeringen arbetar med en utsläppsbudget som knyter ihop« (party programme ↗)“We want the government to work with an emissions budget that ties together”
  • sharp follow-up of environmental goals»miljömål som följs upp med skarp lagstiftning och praktiskt arbete.« (party programme ↗)“environmental goals that are followed up with sharp legislation and practical work.”
  • pricing as complement»Kostnaderna för utsläpp behöver öka långsiktigt« (party programme ↗)“The costs of emissions need to increase in the long term”
  • climate emergency guides decisions»Omställningen behöver ske omgående och alla politiska beslut behöver ta hänsyn till den akuta kris som vi befinner oss i.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The transition needs to happen immediately and all political decisions need to take account of the acute crisis we are in.”
SSocialdemokraternaNoYesdeparts from the plannot addressed

The election manifesto binds the party to the climate policy framework and to net zero emissions by 2045, and states that the pace of emissions reduction must increase.

Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme

Reasoning and quotes

The election manifesto binds the party to the climate policy framework and to net zero emissions by 2045, and states that the pace of emissions reduction must increase. The counter-proposal wants emissions trading to be used only as a complement to other policy instruments and that the combined emissions effects be reported so that commitments are reached. This follows the plan's commitment that Sweden be a leader in its own national climate policy, and the plan therefore supports the requirement.

Original (Swedish)

Valmanifestet binder partiet till det klimatpolitiska ramverket och till nettonollutsläpp senast 2045, och konstaterar att takten i utsläppsminskningen måste öka. Motförslaget vill att utsläppshandeln bara används som komplement till andra styrmedel och att de samlade utsläppseffekterna redovisas så att åtagandena nås. Det följer planens åtagande att Sverige ska vara en föregångare i den nationella klimatpolitiken, och planen stöder därför kravet.

  • net zero emissions by 2045decisive»År 2045 ska Sverige inte ha några nettoutsläpp av växthusgaser till atmosfären, för att därefter uppnå negativa utsläpp.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“In 2045, Sweden shall have no net emissions of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, after which to achieve negative emissions.”
  • climate framework is fixed»Det klimatpolitiska ramverket ska ligga fast.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The climate policy framework shall remain fixed.”
  • increased emission reduction pace»Redan nu minskar utsläppen i vårt land, men takten måste öka.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Already now emissions are falling in our country, but the pace must increase.”
  • leader in climate policy»vara en föregångare i den egna, nationella klimatpolitiken.« (party programme ↗)“be a leader in its own, national climate policy.”

The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.

MPMiljöpartietNoNofollows the planderived

The plan requires a climate policy framework with binding caps on climate impact and a Swedish emissions budget that ensures climate targets are met — which is exactly the basis the counter-proposal requests when it wants to see total emissions effects reported.

Plan documents: party programme · 2022 manifesto

Reasoning and quotes

The plan requires a climate policy framework with binding caps on climate impact and a Swedish emissions budget that ensures climate targets are met — which is exactly the basis the counter-proposal requests when it wants to see total emissions effects reported. The plan also retains energy and carbon taxes as central policy instruments and wants to complement with a transition law, which aligns with emissions trading being only a complement. Thereby the plan supports the counter-proposal's demand.

Original (Swedish)

Planen kräver ett klimatpolitiskt ramverk med bindande tak för klimatpåverkan och en svensk utsläppsbudget som säkrar att klimatmålen nås — vilket är just det underlag motförslaget efterfrågar när det vill se de samlade utsläppseffekterna redovisade. Planen behåller också energi- och koldioxidskatter som centrala styrmedel och vill komplettera med en omställningslag, vilket stämmer med att utsläppshandeln bara ska vara ett komplement. Därmed stöder planen motförslagets krav.

  • binding caps on climate impactdecisive»För att klara klimatmålen krävs ett klimatpolitiskt ramverk med bindande tak för vår klimatpåverkan såväl i Sverige som internationellt.« (party programme ↗)“To meet climate targets, a climate policy framework with binding caps on our climate impact both in Sweden and internationally is required.”
  • emissions budget ensures target achievement»ta fram en svensk utsläppsbudget som gör att vi når klimatmålen.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“develop a Swedish emissions budget that ensures we meet climate targets.”
  • carbon tax retained»Hit hör ekonomiska styrmedel som energi- och koldioxidskatter« (party programme ↗)“Economic policy instruments such as energy and carbon taxes belong here”
  • complementary transition law»införa en omställningslag så att all industri fasar ut kol, olja och fossilgas till senast 2030.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“introduce a transition law so that all industry phases out coal, oil and fossil gas by 2030 at the latest.”
CCenterpartietNoYesdeparts from the plannot addressed

The plan requires climate leadership prioritizing effective measures over symbolism and a climate policy based on what science shows is necessary.

Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme

Reasoning and quotes

The plan requires climate leadership prioritizing effective measures over symbolism and a climate policy based on what science shows is necessary. Reporting the combined emissions effects in affected sectors is one way to ensure emissions commitments are met and is therefore supported by the plan. At the same time, the plan sees emissions trading as one of the most effective tools, which provides some resistance to viewing it as merely complementary.

Original (Swedish)

Planen kräver ett klimatledarskap som prioriterar effektiva åtgärder framför symbolpolitik och en klimatpolitik som utgår från vad vetenskapen visar är nödvändigt. Att redovisa de samlade utsläppseffekterna i de berörda sektorerna är ett sätt att säkerställa att utsläppsåtagandena nås och stöds därför av planen. Samtidigt ser planen utsläppshandeln som ett av de mest effektiva verktygen, vilket ger visst motstånd mot att bara betrakta den som ett komplement.

  • effective measures over symbolismdecisive»Ett ledarskap som prioriterar effektiva åtgärder framför symbolpolitik eller passivitet.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Leadership that prioritizes effective measures over symbolism or inaction.”
  • science-based climate policy»Klimatpolitiken ska utgå från vad vetenskapen visar är nödvändigt för att undvika farliga förändringar.« (party programme ↗)“Climate policy must be based on what science shows is necessary to avoid dangerous changes.”
  • pricing emissions»Det ska kosta mer att smutsa ner.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“It must cost more to pollute.”
  • ambitious emissions trading»EU:s system för handel med utsläppsrätter är bland de mest effektiva verktyg vi har, och vi vill göra det ännu mer ambitiöst och öppna upp det för fler länder som vill ansluta sig.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The EU's emissions trading system is among the most effective tools we have, and we want to make it even more ambitious and open it up to more countries that want to join.”

The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.

LLiberalernaNoYesdeparts from the plannot addressed

The election manifesto requires climate policy measured by how much it actually reduces emissions, which directly supports the counter-proposal's demand that total emissions effects be reported.

Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme

Reasoning and quotes

The election manifesto requires climate policy measured by how much it actually reduces emissions, which directly supports the counter-proposal's demand that total emissions effects be reported. The party programme sees carbon tax and emissions trading as the most effective tools, which fits that the trading system should complement and not replace the carbon tax. The plan does not state this position about the trading system, why coverage is derived.

Original (Swedish)

Valmanifestet kräver en klimatpolitik som mäts i hur mycket den på riktigt får ner utsläppen, vilket direkt bär motförslagets krav på att de samlade utsläppseffekterna redovisas. Partiprogrammet ser koldioxidskatt och utsläppshandel som de mest effektiva redskapen, vilket stämmer med att handelssystemet bör komplettera och inte ersätta koldioxidskatten. Planen uttalar sig inte om just detta handelssystem, varför täckningen är härledd.

  • measure actual emissions effectsdecisive»Och nu behövs en klimatpolitik som inte mäts i hur många skatter som höjs eller hur mycket den kostar skattebetalarna utan i hur mycket den på riktigt får ner utsläppen.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“And now we need a climate policy not measured by how many taxes are raised or how much it costs taxpayers but by how much it actually reduces emissions.”
  • both carbon tax and emissions trading»såsom koldioxidskatt och handel med utsläppsrätter, är det mest effektiva redskapet« (party programme ↗)“such as carbon tax and emissions trading, is the most effective instrument”
  • climate goals shall be reached»Vi ska nå klimatmålen – inga nettoutsläpp av växthusgaser senast 2045 och därefter negativa utsläpp – inom ramen för en växande ekonomi.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“We shall reach the climate goals – no net greenhouse gas emissions by 2045 and thereafter negative emissions – within the framework of a growing economy.”
  • EU as climate arena»EU-samarbetet är vårt viktigaste instrument för att driva på miljöarbetet.« (party programme ↗)“EU cooperation is our most important instrument to drive environmental work.”

The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.

KDKristdemokraternaNoYesdeparts from the planderived

The plan wishes that the relationship between economy and environment is made visible and that national accounts are supplemented with environmental measures, which argues that the combined emission effects of the reforms are reported.

Plan documents: party programme

Reasoning and quotes

The plan wishes that the relationship between economy and environment is made visible and that national accounts are supplemented with environmental measures, which argues that the combined emission effects of the reforms are reported. The principle that the polluter pays and the requirement to phase out fossil fuels supports pricing as a policy instrument, but presupposes that emission commitments are actually achieved. The counter-proposal's requirement for reporting is thus in line with the plan.

Original (Swedish)

Planen vill att sambandet mellan ekonomi och miljö synliggörs och att nationalräkenskaperna kompletteras med miljömått, vilket talar för att de samlade utsläppseffekterna av reformerna redovisas. Principen om att förorenaren betalar och kravet på utfasning av fossila bränslen ger stöd för prissättning som styrmedel, men förutsätter att utsläppsåtagandena faktiskt nås. Motförslagets krav på redovisning ligger därmed i planens linje.

  • makes environmental effects visibledecisive»Nationalräkenskaperna bör utöver ekonomiska« (party programme ↗)“National accounts should in addition to economic”
  • environmental accounts»räkenskaper för att synliggöra sambandet mellan ekonomi och miljö.« (party programme ↗)“accounts to make visible the relationship between economy and environment.”
  • the polluter pays»upprätthålla principen att förorenaren ska betala och att« (party programme ↗)“maintain the principle that the polluter shall pay and that”
  • phase-out of fossil fuels»Fossilbränslena måste fasas ut från såväl energi- som« (party programme ↗)“Fossil fuels must be phased out from both energy and”

The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.

MModeraternaYesYesfollows the plannot addressed

The counter-proposal wants emissions trading to only become a complement and not replace, for example, carbon dioxide tax, and to add a special emissions disclosure.

Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme

Reasoning and quotes

The counter-proposal wants emissions trading to only become a complement and not replace, for example, carbon dioxide tax, and to add a special emissions disclosure. The plan goes in the opposite direction in substance: fuel prices should be lowered, total taxes must not be raised and emission reductions should occur where they are cheapest. A line that secures continued high Swedish tax levels on fuel contradicts these commitments. Therefore the demand is rejected, with low certainty because the system's design is not addressed in the plan.

Original (Swedish)

Motförslaget vill att utsläppshandeln bara blir ett komplement och inte ersätter exempelvis koldioxidskatten, samt lägga till en särskild utsläppsredovisning. Planen går i motsatt riktning i sak: drivmedelspriserna ska sänkas, de samlade skatterna får inte höjas och utsläppsminskningar ska ske där de är billigast. En linje som säkrar fortsatt höga svenska skattenivåer på drivmedel strider mot dessa åtaganden. Därför avvisas kravet, med låg säkerhet eftersom systemets utformning inte behandlas i planen.

  • lower fuel taxdecisive»Sänka priset på bensin och diesel så att du klarar din vardagsekonomi« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Lower the price of petrol and diesel so you can manage your everyday economy”
  • no tax rises»Införa ett skattehöjarstopp under den kommande mandatperioden som innebär att de samlade skatterna inte höjs« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Introduce a tax rise cap during the coming term of office which means that total taxes are not raised”
  • cost-effective emission reduction»Samtidigt är kostnaden för att minska utsläppen genom internationella klimatinsatser ofta mycket lägre än för att minska utsläppen i Sverige« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Meanwhile, the cost of reducing emissions through international climate initiatives is often much lower than reducing emissions in Sweden”
  • no symbolic politics»Klimatpolitiken får aldrig reduceras till dyrbar symbolpolitik eller snäv klimatnationalism.« (party programme ↗)“Climate policy shall never be reduced to expensive symbolic politics or narrow climate nationalism.”
SDSverigedemokraternaYesYesfollows the plannot addressed

The counter-proposal wants emissions trading to be used only as a complement to national policy tools such as carbon dioxide tax and wants the combined emissions effects reported to secure the commitments.

Plan documents: 2022 manifesto

Reasoning and quotes

The counter-proposal wants emissions trading to be used only as a complement to national policy tools such as carbon dioxide tax and wants the combined emissions effects reported to secure the commitments. The plan's decisive commitment is that Swedish climate targets shall be adapted to the EU level and that Sweden should not go further than necessary at the expense of competitiveness, which speaks against building on top with national burdens. The plan's demand for clear results pulls partly towards the reporting part, but does not carry the requirement.

Original (Swedish)

Motförslaget vill att utsläppshandeln bara används som komplement till nationella styrmedel som koldioxidskatten och att de samlade utsläppseffekterna redovisas för att säkra åtagandena. Planens avgörande åtagande är att svenska klimatmål ska anpassas till EU-nivån och att Sverige inte ska gå längre än nödvändigt på bekostnad av konkurrenskraften, vilket talar emot att bygga på med nationella pålagor. Planens krav på tydliga resultat drar delvis mot redovisningsdelen, men bär inte kravet.

  • climate targets adapted to EU leveldecisive»De svenska klimatmålen bör anpassas till den klimatlagstiftning som finns på EU-nivå för att inte kraven på andra länder ska bli lägre som en konsekvens av att vi gör mer än nödvändigt på bekostnad av vår levnadsstandard och konkurrenskraft.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Swedish climate targets should be adapted to the climate legislation existing at EU level so that the requirements on other countries do not become lower as a consequence of us doing more than necessary at the expense of our living standard and competitiveness.”
  • against new taxes and burdens»Svensk klimatpolitik har istället kommit att förvandlas till en kostsam plakatpolitik där det är viktigare att spendera mycket skattemedel, införa nya skatter och införa överdimensionerade regelverk än att göra skillnad på riktigt.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Swedish climate policy has instead come to be transformed into costly poster politics where it is more important to spend a lot of tax money, introduce new taxes and implement oversized regulations than to make a real difference.”
  • global perspective»Bedriva en effektiv klimatpolitik med ett tydligt globalt perspektiv« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Conduct effective climate policy with a clear global perspective”
  • results reporting»Begära tydliga resultat för varje offentlig satsning« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Demand clear results for every public investment”

Share and embed

Embed as a widget (iframe): previewSizeLanguage

Sources and documents

Documents under consideration

Source: The Swedish Parliament