The Riksdag 2022–2026

How should the parties have voted — according to their own documents?

For every chamber vote in the Swedish Riksdag 2022–2026, one AI agent per party decides which side that party should have backed — based solely on the party's own election manifesto and party programme, plus a point-in-time snapshot of the country. Bloc documents such as the Tidö agreement and budget motions are deliberately excluded: each party is read against its own plan alone. The stance is then compared with how the party actually voted.

This is reconstruction, not prediction: the model's training data likely contains the real outcomes. Contamination is measured and reported openly. The project is politically unaffiliated.

53%of votes carrying an explicit commitment in the plan went against that commitmentn = 1617

Evidence tiers

  • 1916 explicit commitment
  • 2501 derived from principle
  • 5043 plan does not address this
JournalistWhere do parties break from the plan?

Every vote where the AI's document-faithful vote differs from the real one — sorted, searchable, with sources and embeddable graphics.

ResearcherMethods, data and reproducibility

Full methodology, contamination measurement, open prompts, raw data and code.

CuriousSearch a topic you care about

Find the vote, see how your party voted — and what its own plan pointed to.

Trend

Documented divergence from own plan

0%25%50%75%100%20222023202420252026V 2022-10: 100%V 2022-11: 23%V 2022-12: 50%V 2023-01: 17%V 2023-02: 53%V 2023-03: 48%V 2023-04: 56%V 2023-05: 54%V 2023-06: 59%V 2023-09: 40%V 2023-10: 25%V 2023-11: 45%V 2023-12: 43%V 2024-01: 55%V 2024-02: 44%V 2024-03: 66%V 2024-04: 53%V 2024-05: 51%V 2024-06: 55%V 2024-09: 50%V 2024-10: 56%V 2024-11: 46%S 2022-10: 50%S 2022-11: 54%S 2022-12: 70%S 2023-01: 83%S 2023-02: 47%S 2023-03: 56%S 2023-04: 53%S 2023-05: 53%S 2023-06: 56%S 2023-09: 40%S 2023-10: 25%S 2023-11: 42%S 2023-12: 33%S 2024-01: 45%S 2024-02: 41%S 2024-03: 54%S 2024-04: 59%S 2024-05: 60%S 2024-06: 52%S 2024-09: 75%S 2024-10: 61%S 2024-11: 33%S 2024-12: 0%MP 2022-10: 50%MP 2022-11: 35%MP 2022-12: 70%MP 2023-01: 33%MP 2023-02: 66%MP 2023-03: 54%MP 2023-04: 62%MP 2023-05: 56%MP 2023-06: 56%MP 2023-09: 60%MP 2023-10: 0%MP 2023-11: 45%MP 2023-12: 48%MP 2024-01: 35%MP 2024-02: 46%MP 2024-03: 65%MP 2024-04: 56%MP 2024-05: 58%MP 2024-06: 56%MP 2024-09: 75%MP 2024-10: 39%MP 2024-11: 71%C 2022-10: 100%C 2022-11: 65%C 2022-12: 70%C 2023-01: 33%C 2023-02: 66%C 2023-03: 61%C 2023-04: 63%C 2023-05: 64%C 2023-06: 58%C 2023-09: 40%C 2023-10: 75%C 2023-11: 68%C 2023-12: 76%C 2024-01: 70%C 2024-02: 54%C 2024-03: 60%C 2024-04: 65%C 2024-05: 61%C 2024-06: 67%C 2024-09: 50%C 2024-10: 44%C 2024-11: 71%C 2024-12: 0%L 2022-10: 100%L 2022-11: 65%L 2022-12: 50%L 2023-01: 33%L 2023-02: 66%L 2023-03: 76%L 2023-04: 88%L 2023-05: 75%L 2023-06: 76%L 2023-09: 80%L 2023-10: 75%L 2023-11: 74%L 2023-12: 81%L 2024-01: 70%L 2024-02: 75%L 2024-03: 84%L 2024-04: 83%L 2024-05: 78%L 2024-06: 65%L 2024-09: 100%L 2024-10: 72%L 2024-11: 63%KD 2022-10: 0%KD 2022-11: 69%KD 2022-12: 70%KD 2023-01: 50%KD 2023-02: 75%KD 2023-03: 81%KD 2023-04: 90%KD 2023-05: 76%KD 2023-06: 76%KD 2023-09: 60%KD 2023-10: 100%KD 2023-11: 52%KD 2023-12: 95%KD 2024-01: 75%KD 2024-02: 75%KD 2024-03: 85%KD 2024-04: 82%KD 2024-05: 78%KD 2024-06: 79%KD 2024-09: 100%KD 2024-10: 61%KD 2024-11: 75%M 2022-10: 0%M 2022-11: 35%M 2022-12: 50%M 2023-01: 0%M 2023-02: 50%M 2023-03: 55%M 2023-04: 67%M 2023-05: 62%M 2023-06: 65%M 2023-09: 40%M 2023-10: 25%M 2023-11: 52%M 2023-12: 57%M 2024-01: 55%M 2024-02: 56%M 2024-03: 71%M 2024-04: 65%M 2024-05: 46%M 2024-06: 53%M 2024-09: 75%M 2024-10: 33%M 2024-11: 50%M 2024-12: 0%SD 2022-10: 0%SD 2022-11: 50%SD 2022-12: 60%SD 2023-01: 17%SD 2023-02: 56%SD 2023-03: 57%SD 2023-04: 67%SD 2023-05: 53%SD 2023-06: 61%SD 2023-09: 40%SD 2023-10: 100%SD 2023-11: 45%SD 2023-12: 62%SD 2024-01: 70%SD 2024-02: 65%SD 2024-03: 62%SD 2024-04: 61%SD 2024-05: 52%SD 2024-06: 59%SD 2024-09: 25%SD 2024-10: 39%SD 2024-11: 67%SD 2024-12: 0%All 2022-10: 50%All 2022-11: 50%All 2022-12: 61%All 2023-01: 33%All 2023-02: 60%All 2023-03: 61%All 2023-04: 68%All 2023-05: 62%All 2023-06: 63%All 2023-09: 50%All 2023-10: 53%All 2023-11: 53%All 2023-12: 62%All 2024-01: 59%All 2024-02: 57%All 2024-03: 68%All 2024-04: 66%All 2024-05: 60%All 2024-06: 61%All 2024-09: 69%All 2024-10: 51%All 2024-11: 59%All 2024-12: 0%KDMPLVSCMSD

AllVSMPCLKDMSD

Share of votes per month where the plan's stance differs from the party's actual vote — across all evidence tiers, not only explicit commitments. 0% = the party voted as planned; higher = larger drift. Counts only decisions where the party's plan speaks explicitly to what the vote turned on. The other decisions are still real, fully cited stances — but a plan that never addresses the substance cannot show the party broke it.

Context

Polling support across the term

0%10%20%30%40%20222023202420252026V 2022-10: 7%V 2022-11: 8%V 2022-12: 8%V 2023-01: 8%V 2023-02: 8%V 2023-03: 8%V 2023-04: 8%V 2023-05: 8%V 2023-06: 8%V 2023-09: 8%V 2023-10: 8%V 2023-11: 8%V 2023-12: 8%V 2024-01: 8%V 2024-02: 8%V 2024-03: 8%V 2024-04: 8%V 2024-05: 8%V 2024-06: 9%V 2024-09: 9%V 2024-10: 8%V 2024-11: 8%V 2024-12: 8%V 2025-01: 8%V 2025-02: 8%V 2025-03: 8%V 2025-04: 8%V 2025-05: 8%V 2025-06: 8%V 2025-09: 7%V 2025-10: 7%V 2025-11: 7%V 2025-12: 7%V 2026-01: 7%V 2026-02: 8%V 2026-03: 8%V 2026-04: 8%V 2026-05: 8%V 2026-06: 9%S 2022-10: 32%S 2022-11: 32%S 2022-12: 34%S 2023-01: 35%S 2023-02: 36%S 2023-03: 36%S 2023-04: 37%S 2023-05: 37%S 2023-06: 36%S 2023-09: 37%S 2023-10: 37%S 2023-11: 37%S 2023-12: 36%S 2024-01: 36%S 2024-02: 35%S 2024-03: 35%S 2024-04: 34%S 2024-05: 34%S 2024-06: 32%S 2024-09: 33%S 2024-10: 32%S 2024-11: 33%S 2024-12: 33%S 2025-01: 34%S 2025-02: 34%S 2025-03: 34%S 2025-04: 36%S 2025-05: 35%S 2025-06: 35%S 2025-09: 35%S 2025-10: 34%S 2025-11: 34%S 2025-12: 34%S 2026-01: 34%S 2026-02: 34%S 2026-03: 32%S 2026-04: 33%S 2026-05: 32%S 2026-06: 32%MP 2022-10: 4%MP 2022-11: 4%MP 2022-12: 5%MP 2023-01: 4%MP 2023-02: 5%MP 2023-03: 4%MP 2023-04: 4%MP 2023-05: 4%MP 2023-06: 4%MP 2023-09: 5%MP 2023-10: 4%MP 2023-11: 4%MP 2023-12: 4%MP 2024-01: 5%MP 2024-02: 5%MP 2024-03: 5%MP 2024-04: 5%MP 2024-05: 6%MP 2024-06: 6%MP 2024-09: 6%MP 2024-10: 6%MP 2024-11: 6%MP 2024-12: 6%MP 2025-01: 6%MP 2025-02: 6%MP 2025-03: 6%MP 2025-04: 6%MP 2025-05: 6%MP 2025-06: 6%MP 2025-09: 5%MP 2025-10: 6%MP 2025-11: 6%MP 2025-12: 6%MP 2026-01: 6%MP 2026-02: 6%MP 2026-03: 6%MP 2026-04: 6%MP 2026-05: 7%MP 2026-06: 7%C 2022-10: 6%C 2022-11: 6%C 2022-12: 6%C 2023-01: 5%C 2023-02: 5%C 2023-03: 4%C 2023-04: 4%C 2023-05: 4%C 2023-06: 5%C 2023-09: 4%C 2023-10: 4%C 2023-11: 4%C 2023-12: 4%C 2024-01: 4%C 2024-02: 4%C 2024-03: 4%C 2024-04: 5%C 2024-05: 5%C 2024-06: 5%C 2024-09: 5%C 2024-10: 5%C 2024-11: 5%C 2024-12: 5%C 2025-01: 5%C 2025-02: 4%C 2025-03: 4%C 2025-04: 4%C 2025-05: 5%C 2025-06: 6%C 2025-09: 5%C 2025-10: 5%C 2025-11: 5%C 2025-12: 5%C 2026-01: 5%C 2026-02: 5%C 2026-03: 6%C 2026-04: 6%C 2026-05: 6%C 2026-06: 6%L 2022-10: 4%L 2022-11: 4%L 2022-12: 4%L 2023-01: 4%L 2023-02: 3%L 2023-03: 3%L 2023-04: 4%L 2023-05: 3%L 2023-06: 3%L 2023-09: 3%L 2023-10: 3%L 2023-11: 3%L 2023-12: 3%L 2024-01: 3%L 2024-02: 3%L 2024-03: 4%L 2024-04: 3%L 2024-05: 3%L 2024-06: 3%L 2024-09: 3%L 2024-10: 3%L 2024-11: 4%L 2024-12: 3%L 2025-01: 3%L 2025-02: 3%L 2025-03: 3%L 2025-04: 3%L 2025-05: 3%L 2025-06: 3%L 2025-09: 3%L 2025-10: 3%L 2025-11: 2%L 2025-12: 2%L 2026-01: 2%L 2026-02: 2%L 2026-03: 3%L 2026-04: 3%L 2026-05: 2%L 2026-06: 2%KD 2022-10: 5%KD 2022-11: 5%KD 2022-12: 5%KD 2023-01: 4%KD 2023-02: 4%KD 2023-03: 4%KD 2023-04: 4%KD 2023-05: 4%KD 2023-06: 4%KD 2023-09: 4%KD 2023-10: 3%KD 2023-11: 3%KD 2023-12: 3%KD 2024-01: 3%KD 2024-02: 4%KD 2024-03: 3%KD 2024-04: 3%KD 2024-05: 4%KD 2024-06: 4%KD 2024-09: 4%KD 2024-10: 4%KD 2024-11: 4%KD 2024-12: 4%KD 2025-01: 3%KD 2025-02: 4%KD 2025-03: 4%KD 2025-04: 3%KD 2025-05: 4%KD 2025-06: 4%KD 2025-09: 4%KD 2025-10: 4%KD 2025-11: 4%KD 2025-12: 5%KD 2026-01: 4%KD 2026-02: 5%KD 2026-03: 5%KD 2026-04: 5%KD 2026-05: 5%KD 2026-06: 6%M 2022-10: 20%M 2022-11: 21%M 2022-12: 19%M 2023-01: 19%M 2023-02: 20%M 2023-03: 20%M 2023-04: 20%M 2023-05: 19%M 2023-06: 20%M 2023-09: 19%M 2023-10: 18%M 2023-11: 18%M 2023-12: 17%M 2024-01: 18%M 2024-02: 18%M 2024-03: 19%M 2024-04: 20%M 2024-05: 19%M 2024-06: 19%M 2024-09: 19%M 2024-10: 19%M 2024-11: 19%M 2024-12: 19%M 2025-01: 19%M 2025-02: 19%M 2025-03: 19%M 2025-04: 19%M 2025-05: 19%M 2025-06: 18%M 2025-09: 18%M 2025-10: 18%M 2025-11: 18%M 2025-12: 18%M 2026-01: 18%M 2026-02: 18%M 2026-03: 18%M 2026-04: 18%M 2026-05: 17%M 2026-06: 17%SD 2022-10: 21%SD 2022-11: 20%SD 2022-12: 19%SD 2023-01: 19%SD 2023-02: 19%SD 2023-03: 18%SD 2023-04: 19%SD 2023-05: 19%SD 2023-06: 19%SD 2023-09: 19%SD 2023-10: 21%SD 2023-11: 22%SD 2023-12: 23%SD 2024-01: 22%SD 2024-02: 21%SD 2024-03: 20%SD 2024-04: 20%SD 2024-05: 21%SD 2024-06: 19%SD 2024-09: 20%SD 2024-10: 20%SD 2024-11: 20%SD 2024-12: 21%SD 2025-01: 20%SD 2025-02: 21%SD 2025-03: 20%SD 2025-04: 19%SD 2025-05: 20%SD 2025-06: 20%SD 2025-09: 22%SD 2025-10: 22%SD 2025-11: 21%SD 2025-12: 22%SD 2026-01: 22%SD 2026-02: 21%SD 2026-03: 21%SD 2026-04: 20%SD 2026-05: 20%SD 2026-06: 20%SSDMVMPCKDL

VSMPCLKDMSD

Monthly average of published opinion polls (SwedishPolls). Context only — not part of the agents' inputs.

Explore

Navigate by time

Each cell is a month: number of votes, colored by AI ↔ actual agreement (green = follows the plan). Click for that month's cases.

All cases (2539) →

By party

Documented divergence per party

V39%83/214S25%35/139MP27%60/219C32%52/163L83%231/278KD85%151/178M68%136/199SD45%102/227
Share of decisions where the party's plan took an explicit position on the substance and the party still voted the other way. Only the "explicit commitment" evidence tier counts.