2023-10-252023/24:KU2 · p.2KUConstitution

Guarantee model

State guarantee model for municipal and regional revenues during economic downturns

What's at stake: A guarantee model would give municipalities and regions a more stable financial footing during downturns and could affect funding for schools, healthcare and elderly care when tax revenues fall.

Case texts and AI reasoning are AI-translated from the Swedish originals; the Swedish text is authoritative.

What the vote decides

The question is whether the government should promptly bring a proposal for a state guarantee model protecting municipal and regional revenues during deeper economic downturns back to parliament, or whether the matter should continue to be processed within the Government Offices without such a demand.

Yes Yes — the committee proposal

The committee, like the Finance Committee, does not want to pre-empt the ongoing processing of the guarantee model within the Government Offices, and therefore opposes the motion's demand for a prompt return to parliament.

No No — the reservations

Reservation 1 (S, V, MP)

The reserving members (S, V, MP) argue that a state guarantee model would give municipalities and regions better conditions for long-term planning and protect the quality of schools, healthcare and elderly care during economic downturns, and demand that the government promptly return to parliament on the matter.

Summarised from the committee report. Party labels in the summary come from the report, not from the vote.

VSMPCLKDMSD
YesNoAbstainAbsent

What do the votes mean here?

Yes The committee proposal: rejecting the motions (keeping things as they are).

No Backing the counter-proposal: reservation 1 by S, V, MP.

Abstain The party marks a position of its own that is not one of the two final alternatives.

What each plan points to — and how the party voted

For each party: the vote its own election manifesto and party programme point to in this case, next to how the party actually voted. A plan can only point to Yes or No; a party can also abstain.

PlanVoteConfidenceEvidence
Vown reservationNoNo 0/20/0/4follows the planconfidence: mediumnot addressed
Sown reservationNoNo 0/94/0/13follows the planconfidence: mediumnot addressed
MPown reservationNoNo 0/13/0/5follows the planconfidence: mediumnot addressed
CNoYes 21/0/0/3departs from the planconfidence: mediumnot addressed
LNoYes 14/0/0/2departs from the planconfidence: mediumnot addressed
KDNoYes 14/0/0/5departs from the planconfidence: mediumnot addressed
MYesYes 60/0/0/8follows the planconfidence: mediumnot addressed
SDNoYes 63/0/0/9departs from the planconfidence: mediumnot addressed

Committee proposal

Parliament rejects motion 2022/23:2398 by Ida Karkiainen et al. (S) demand 1.

Original (Swedish)

Riksdagen avslår motion 2022/23:2398 av Ida Karkiainen m.fl. (S) yrkande 1.

Riksdag decision: Parliament approved the government's proposal for amendments to the Local Government Act, the Act on Municipal Accounting and Reporting, and the Act on Financial Coordination of Rehabilitation Measures. The legislative amendments entail that the earnings equalization reserves regulated in the Local Government Act shall be replaced with earnings reserves. The introduction of earnings reserves means that municipalities and regions are given greater opportunities to plan their savings in order to achieve good financial management. Furthermore, the budget shall also contain a report on the finances of municipal group enterprises, and audit reports shall be made available to the public on the municipality's or region's website. The requirement to decide on special guidelines for pension fund management is removed. The purpose of the legislative amendments is to promote effective financial management in municipalities and regions. The legislative amendments shall enter into force on 1 January 2024.

Counter-proposals

Plan vs actual vote

Every party, in chamber order: what its own plan pointed to, how it voted, and the reasoning behind both. Highlighted rows are where the two differ — but a vote that follows the plan is a result too, so the reasoning is there for every party.

VVänsterpartietNoNofollows the plannot addressed

The plan requires that redistribution from state to municipality and region increases and that welfare exists everywhere and for everyone, citing that tax cuts have forced local politicians to cut.

Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme

Reasoning and quotes

The plan requires that redistribution from state to municipality and region increases and that welfare exists everywhere and for everyone, citing that tax cuts have forced local politicians to cut. A state guarantee model that protects schools, healthcare, and care during economic downturns directly responds to this commitment. The plan does not comment on the deliberation order in the Government Offices.

Original (Swedish)

Planen kräver att omfördelningen från stat till kommun och region ökar och att välfärden finns överallt och för alla, med hänvisning till att skattesänkningar tvingat lokalpolitiker att skära ner. En statlig garantimodell som skyddar skola, vård och omsorg vid konjunktursvackor svarar direkt mot detta åtagande. Planen uttalar sig inte om beredningsordningen i Regeringskansliet.

  • increased redistribution to municipalitiesdecisive»Omfördelningen från stat till region och kommun måste öka och särskild hänsyn ska tas till de många kommuner och regioner som idag inte får ihop sin ekonomi« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Redistribution from state to region and municipality must increase and special consideration must be given to the many municipalities and regions that today cannot balance their budgets”
  • protect municipalities from cuts»I takt med att skatterna på de mest förmögna minskat ökar trycket på lokal- och regionalpolitiker att höja skatten för att slippa skära ner ytterligare.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“As taxes on the most affluent have decreased, pressure has increased on local and regional politicians to raise taxes to avoid further cuts.”
  • universal welfare throughout the country»Välfärden måste vara till för alla och finnas överallt.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Welfare must be for everyone and exist everywhere.”
  • equivalent municipal conditions»alla kommuner och landsting ska ha likvärdiga förutsättningar« (party programme ↗)“all municipalities and county councils must have equivalent conditions”
SSocialdemokraternaNoNofollows the plannot addressed

The plan's decisive commitment is to continue increasing state contributions to municipalities and regions and to choose increased welfare resources over large tax cuts.

Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme

Reasoning and quotes

The plan's decisive commitment is to continue increasing state contributions to municipalities and regions and to choose increased welfare resources over large tax cuts. A state guarantee model that protects schools, healthcare and care during economic downturns realizes this, and the party programme sees economic policy as an active cyclical instrument that should stimulate in recessions. The requirement for urgency fits within the plan's ambition for equivalent welfare throughout the country.

Original (Swedish)

Planens avgörande åtagande är att fortsätta öka statens bidrag till kommuner och regioner och att välja ökade välfärdsresurser framför stora skattesänkningar. En statlig garantimodell som skyddar skola, vård och omsorg vid konjunktursvackor förverkligar just detta, och partiprogrammet ser den ekonomiska politiken som ett aktivt konjunkturinstrument som ska stimulera i lågkonjunkturer. Kravet på skyndsamhet ryms i planens ambition om likvärdig välfärd i hela landet.

  • increased state grantsdecisive»Vi vill fortsätta öka statens bidrag till kommuner och regioner.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“We want to continue increasing state contributions to municipalities and regions.”
  • welfare before tax cuts»En avgörande fråga i höstens val är om vi ska fortsätta öka resurserna till välfärden, eller om stora skattesänkningar ska gå före.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“A crucial question in autumn's election is whether we should continue to increase resources to welfare, or whether large tax cuts should take precedence.”
  • active cyclical policy»ekonomin i överhettningssituationer och stimulerar i lågkonjunkturer« (party programme ↗)“the economy in overheating situations and stimulates in recessions”
  • equivalent welfare throughout the country»Alla invånare i hela landet ska ha likvärdig tillgång till skola, vård och omsorg.« (party programme ↗)“All residents throughout the country shall have equivalent access to schools, healthcare and care.”

Worldstate weighed in: Weak economic conditions (barometer 87.5 and unemployment 8.1 percent) — makes the plan's requirement to protect welfare during economic downturns acute and strengthens support for a guarantee model

MPMiljöpartietNoNofollows the plannot addressed

The plan requires the state to use preventive fiscal policy to dampen economic fluctuations and to provide equal economic conditions for municipal service throughout the country.

Plan documents: party programme

Reasoning and quotes

The plan requires the state to use preventive fiscal policy to dampen economic fluctuations and to provide equal economic conditions for municipal service throughout the country. Welfare services within healthcare, education and care shall be offered on equal terms and according to need, which argues against quality declining when the tax base falls. A state guarantee model that protects precisely these activities during economic downturns is therefore in line with the plan.

Original (Swedish)

Planen ålägger staten att med förebyggande finanspolitik dämpa konjunktursvängningar och att ge likvärdiga ekonomiska förutsättningar för kommunal service i hela landet. Välfärdstjänster inom vård, skola och omsorg ska erbjudas på lika villkor och efter behov, vilket talar mot att kvaliteten ska falla när skatteunderlaget viker. En statlig garantimodell som skyddar just dessa verksamheter vid konjunktursvackor ligger därför i linje med planen.

  • the state shall dampen economic fluctuationsdecisive»dämpa effekter av konjunkturvariationer och verka för stabila priser« (party programme ↗)“dampen the effects of economic fluctuations and work for stable prices”
  • equivalent municipal service»Ett väl fungerande skattesystem ska ge likvärdiga ekonomiska förutsättningar« (party programme ↗)“A well-functioning tax system shall provide equal economic conditions”
  • welfare on equal terms»Välfärdstjänster inom vård, skola och omsorg ska« (party programme ↗)“Welfare services within healthcare, education and care shall”

Worldstate weighed in: Business survey index 87.5 and policy rate 4.0 per cent — Weak economic conditions make the protection of school, healthcare and care services more acute and strengthen the case for a guarantee model

CCenterpartietNoYesdeparts from the plannot addressed

The plan requires that public service and welfare be equivalent and reliable throughout the country regardless of where one lives, and it explicitly favours governance instruments such as a well-functioning tax equalisation system to give all parts of the country equivalent conditions.

Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme

Reasoning and quotes

The plan requires that public service and welfare be equivalent and reliable throughout the country regardless of where one lives, and it explicitly favours governance instruments such as a well-functioning tax equalisation system to give all parts of the country equivalent conditions. A state guarantee model that protects school, health and care against economic downturns aligns with this and with the desire to make small municipalities less vulnerable. The plan values regions' principal authority, but the counter-proposal does not move responsibility to the state but strengthens planning preconditions.

Original (Swedish)

Planen kräver att offentlig service och välfärd ska vara likvärdig och pålitlig i hela landet oavsett var man bor, och den förordar uttryckligen styrmedel som ett väl fungerande skatteutjämningssystem för att ge alla delar av landet likvärdiga förutsättningar. En statlig garantimodell som skyddar skola, vård och omsorg vid konjunktursvackor ligger i linje med detta och med viljan att göra små kommuner mindre sårbara. Planen värnar samtidigt regionernas huvudmannaskap, men motförslaget flyttar inte ansvar till staten utan stärker planeringsförutsättningarna.

  • equivalent welfare throughout the countrydecisive»Offentlig service ska vara nära och pålitlig i hela landet. Alla ska ha en trygg polisnärvaro, en likvärdig skola och en trygg och nära vård och omsorg — oavsett var de bor.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Public service shall be close and reliable throughout the country. Everyone shall have secure police presence, an equivalent school and secure and close health and care — regardless of where they live.”
  • equalisation between municipalities»Exempel på sådana styrmedel är ett väl fungerande skatteutjämningssystem« (party programme ↗)“Examples of such governance instruments are a well-functioning tax equalisation system”
  • reduce small municipalities' vulnerability»och gör små kommuner mindre sårbara« (party programme ↗)“and make small municipalities less vulnerable”
  • preserved regional principal authority»Ansvaret för vården ska inte flyttas från regionerna till staten.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Responsibility for care shall not be moved from regions to the state.”

The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.

LLiberalernaNoYesdeparts from the plannot addressed

The Liberals want the state to take over financing responsibility for among other things schools and disability support services and to even out municipalities' financial conditions, precisely so that welfare quality shall not depend on where one lives.

Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme

Reasoning and quotes

The Liberals want the state to take over financing responsibility for among other things schools and disability support services and to even out municipalities' financial conditions, precisely so that welfare quality shall not depend on where one lives. A state guarantee model that protects schools, healthcare and care in economic downturns is in line with that commitment and with the requirement for predictability. The plan mentions no guarantee model, so the stance is derived.

Original (Swedish)

Liberalerna vill att staten tar över finansieringsansvaret för bland annat skolan och LSS och att kommunernas ekonomiska villkor utjämnas, just för att välfärdens kvalitet inte ska bero på var man bor. En statlig garantimodell som skyddar skola, vård och omsorg vid konjunktursvackor ligger i linje med det åtagandet och med kravet på förutsägbarhet. Planen nämner ingen garantimodell, så ställningstagandet är härlett.

  • state financing responsibilitydecisive»Vi vill skapa mer likvärdiga villkor och skatter genom att flytta finansieringsansvaret för bland annat skolan och LSS till staten.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“We want to create more equal conditions and taxes by shifting financing responsibility for among other things schools and disability support services to the state.”
  • state school allowance»I ett första steg kommer vi att införa en statlig skolpeng som ger likvärdiga villkor i hela landet« (2022 manifesto ↗)“As a first step we will introduce a state school allowance that provides equal conditions across the country”
  • equal welfare across the country»Oavsett bostadsort har individer rätt att få likvärdig kvalitet på vården, omsorgen, socialtjänsten och andra« (party programme ↗)“Regardless of residence, individuals have the right to receive equal-quality care, support, social services and other”
  • equalisation with growth incentives»Utjämningssystemet ska innehålla drivkrafter för tillväxt.« (party programme ↗)“The equalisation system shall contain incentives for growth.”

Worldstate weighed in: Economic downturn with high inflation and interest rate 4 per cent — Actualises the plan's requirement for equal welfare and predictable planning conditions for municipalities

The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.

KDKristdemokraternaNoYesdeparts from the plannot addressed

The plan establishes that it is a state task to support municipalities unable to fulfill their statutory duties and that the equalization system shall be state-run, which comes close to a state guarantee model during economic downturns.

Plan documents: party programme · 2022 manifesto

Reasoning and quotes

The plan establishes that it is a state task to support municipalities unable to fulfill their statutory duties and that the equalization system shall be state-run, which comes close to a state guarantee model during economic downturns. Protecting the quality of schools, health and care is moreover the plan's stated priority. Trusteeship requires long-term planning conditions.

Original (Swedish)

Planen slår fast att det är en statlig uppgift att stödja kommuner som inte klarar sina lagstadgade skyldigheter och att utjämningssystemet ska vara statligt, vilket ligger nära en statlig garantimodell vid konjunktursvackor. Att skydda kvaliteten i skola, vård och omsorg är dessutom planens uttalade prioritering. Förvaltarskapet kräver långsiktiga planeringsförutsättningar.

  • state responsibility for municipalities' core dutiesdecisive»Det är en statlig uppgift att stödja kommuner som« (party programme ↗)“It is a state task to support municipalities which”
  • state equalization»Systemet för kommunal utjämning ska vara statligt och så utformat att konsekvenserna av skillnader« (party programme ↗)“The system for municipal equalization shall be state-run and designed so that the consequences of differences”
  • long-term planning conditions»Förvaltarskapsprincipen hjälper oss att tänka långsiktigt« (party programme ↗)“The stewardship principle helps us think long term”
  • state responsibility for welfare's core»Avskaffa regionernas ansvar för sjukvården.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Abolish regions' responsibility for health care.”

The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.

MModeraternaYesYesfollows the plannot addressed

The plan's fiscal policy commitment is to safeguard the surplus target and that all new promises must be financed, while the justice system, defence and welfare are singled out as the priorities that crowd out other things.

Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme

Reasoning and quotes

The plan's fiscal policy commitment is to safeguard the surplus target and that all new promises must be financed, while the justice system, defence and welfare are singled out as the priorities that crowd out other things. A state guarantee model to maintain municipal revenues during economic downturns is a new and explicit state commitment of precisely the kind the plan says must wait. Thus the plan speaks against the counter-proposal's requirements.

Original (Swedish)

Planens finanspolitiska åtagande är att värna överskottsmålet och att alla nya löften måste finansieras, samtidigt som rättsväsende, försvar och välfärd pekas ut som de prioriteringar som tränger undan annat. En statlig garantimodell som ska hålla kommunernas intäkter uppe vid konjunktursvackor är ett nytt och öppet statligt åtagande av just det slag planen säger får vänta. Därmed talar planen mot motförslagets krav.

  • safeguard fiscal policy frameworkdecisive»Överskottsmålet ska värnas och det är inte aktuellt att övergå till ett balansmål.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The surplus target shall be safeguarded and it is not current to move to a balance target.”
  • hard priorities required»De stora behoven inom rättsväsendet, försvaret och välfärden ställer stora krav på prioriteringar under åren som kommer.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The large needs within the justice system, defence and welfare place great demands on priorities in the years to come.”
  • new commitments must wait»Vi vet vad som måste göras – och vad som får vänta.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“We know what needs to be done – and what can wait.”
  • strong public finances»Statens finanser ska vara starka.« (party programme ↗)“The state's finances shall be strong.”
SDSverigedemokraternaNoYesdeparts from the plannot addressed

The plan states that the municipality's or region's finances shall not determine the quality of care and shall ensure that public allocations secure police, healthcare, schools and care regardless of where in the country one lives.

Plan documents: party programme · 2022 manifesto

Reasoning and quotes

The plan states that the municipality's or region's finances shall not determine the quality of care and shall ensure that public allocations secure police, healthcare, schools and care regardless of where in the country one lives. It also describes a municipal sector that long-term lacks resources for the welfare task. A state guarantee model that protects schools, care and services during economic downturns thereby aligns with the plan's commitment, even though the model as such is not mentioned.

Original (Swedish)

Planen slår fast att kommunens eller regionens ekonomi inte får avgöra kvaliteten i vård och omsorg och att offentliga anslag ska säkra polis, sjukvård, skola och omsorg oavsett var i landet man bor. Den beskriver också en kommunsektor som långsiktigt saknar resurser för välfärdsuppdraget. En statlig garantimodell som skyddar skola, vård och omsorg vid konjunktursvackor ligger därmed i linje med planens åtagande, även om modellen som sådan inte nämns.

  • quality independent of municipal financesdecisive»kommunens eller stadsdelens ekonomi får inte vara avgörande för vilken kvalitet av vård och omsorg« (party programme ↗)“the municipality's or district's finances shall not be decisive for the quality of care”
  • welfare prioritised across the whole country»Offentliga anslag ska i första hand fokuseras för att stärka välfärdens hjärta genom höjda pensioner och medel som säkerställer att polis, sjukvård, skola och omsorg oavsett var i landet man bor.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Public allocations shall primarily be focused on strengthening the heart of welfare through increased pensions and means that ensure police, healthcare, schools and care regardless of where in the country one lives.”
  • municipal sector resource shortage»en kommunsektor som långsiktigt inte bedöms ha resurser för att klara välfärdsuppdraget« (2022 manifesto ↗)“a municipal sector that long-term is not considered to have resources to cope with the welfare task”
  • national quality requirements»Nationella kvalitetskrav inom vård och omsorg måste finnas och får inte underskridas.« (party programme ↗)“National quality requirements within care must exist and shall not be undercut.”

The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.

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Sources and documents

Documents under consideration

Source: The Swedish Parliament