Impact assessment of the bill

The plan explicitly rejects plans to expand nuclear power as a way out of fossil fuel dependence and wants instead to see radical expansion of renewable electricity production. A requirement for a much more thorough impact analysis of the financing and risk-sharing model, with clear zero alternative and analysis of public credit losses, follows from the plan wanting electricity and heat to be governed by socioeconomic goals.

• rejects nuclear power expansiondecisive»planerna på att bygga ut kärnkraften som en väg ut ur fossilberoendet.« (party programme ↗)“plans to expand nuclear power as a way out of fossil fuel dependence.”
• renewables before nuclear»En radikal utbyggnad av den förnybara elproduktionen är avgörande« (party programme ↗)“A radical expansion of renewable electricity production is decisive”
• electricity governed by socioeconomic goals»Vi ser el och värme som en del av Sveriges infrastruktur, där« (party programme ↗)“We see electricity and heat as part of Sweden's infrastructure, where”
• away from nuclear dependence»beroendet och kärnkraftsberoendet.« (party programme ↗)“dependence and nuclear dependence.”

The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.

The election manifesto promises to guarantee the credibility of Swedish economy, never to contribute to undermining public finances and to stand up for the fiscal framework. A financing and risk-sharing model with unclear state commitments and risk of credit losses then requires a thorough basis before implementation. The party explicitly warns against bidding against each other with borrowed money. The plan therefore supports the requirement for a more thorough consequence analysis.

• credible public financesdecisive»Garantera trovärdigheten för svensk ekonomi.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Guarantee the credibility of Swedish economy.”
• the fiscal framework»Vi står upp för det finanspolitiska ramverket och vill utveckla det för att möta vår tids samhällsproblem.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“We stand up for the fiscal framework and want to develop it to meet our time's societal problems.”
• warning against borrowing-financed spending»Om partier skulle bjuda över varandra med lånade pengar slutar det med högre bolåneräntor och ännu högre priser.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“If parties bid against each other with borrowed money it ends with higher mortgage rates and even higher prices.”
• nuclear power in the electricity mix»Kärnkraften är en viktig del av svensk elproduktion och kommer att så vara under lång tid framöver.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Nuclear power is an important part of Swedish electricity production and will continue to be for a long time ahead.”

The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.

The election manifesto states that nuclear power requires hundreds of billions from the state and takes at least fifteen years to build, and the party programme that the party opposes new reactors. A financing and risk-sharing model that rests on uncertain assumptions about electricity consumption and state credit losses is therefore precisely what the plan warns against. The demand for a thorough impact assessment is supported.

• nuclear power expensive and slowdecisive»Kärnkraften tar minst 15 år att bygga, kräver hundratals miljarder av staten i investeringar och har enorma säkerhetsrisker.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Nuclear power takes at least 15 years to build, requires hundreds of billions of state investments and has enormous safety risks.”
• no new reactors»Vi motsätter oss byggandet av nya reaktorer i Sverige, eller effekthöjning i befintliga, och vill i stället påbörja avvecklingen av kärnkraften omedelbart.« (party programme ↗)“We oppose the construction of new reactors in Sweden, or power increases in existing ones, and instead want to begin the decommissioning of nuclear power immediately.”
• nuclear power unsustainable»Kärnkraften hör därför inte hemma i ett hållbart samhälle.« (party programme ↗)“Nuclear power therefore does not belong in a sustainable society.”
• renewable in the near term»Om vi vill ge hushåll, företag och industrier billig el i närtid och en säkrare värld, då måste framtiden vara förnybar!« (2022 manifesto ↗)“If we want to give households, businesses and industries cheap electricity in the near term and a safer world, then the future must be renewable!”

The party programme's vision is a society with one hundred per cent renewable energy without nuclear power, which means the plan offers no support for circumventing the review of a state financing model for new nuclear power. The election manifesto moreover requires that the fiscal framework is protected and that policy exercises restraint with taxpayers' money. A thorough consequences analysis of costs, credit risks and do-nothing scenarios is exactly what those commitments require.

• vision of a society without nuclear powerdecisive»Sverige har både möjlighet och skyldighet att inom mindre än en generation bli ett samhälle med hundra procent förnybar energi, helt fritt från fossil energi, där Centerpartiets vision är ett samhälle utan kärnkraft.« (party programme ↗)“Sweden has both the ability and the duty to become, within less than a generation, a society with one hundred per cent renewable energy, completely free from fossil fuels, where the Centre Party's vision is a society without nuclear power.”
• responsibility for government finances»Det finanspolitiska ramverket ska värnas och förstärkas, och Sveriges långsiktiga ekonomiska stabilitet ska försvaras. Politiken ska hushålla med skattebetalarnas pengar.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The fiscal framework shall be protected and strengthened, and Sweden's long-term economic stability shall be defended. Policy shall exercise restraint with taxpayers' money.”
• effective measures over symbolic politics»Ett ledarskap som prioriterar effektiva åtgärder framför symbolpolitik eller passivitet.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Leadership that prioritizes effective measures over symbolic politics or passivity.”

The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.

The election manifesto explicitly requires that state loan guarantees shall cover nuclear power, that more reactors are enabled and that the regulations are modernized. The party programme establishes that nuclear power is needed for climate reasons and that the state should facilitate expansion. A requirement for a much more elaborate impact analysis before implementing the financing model would delay exactly what the plan wants to implement.

• state loan guarantees for nuclear powerdecisive»I stället vill vi möjliggöra fler nya reaktorer på fler ställen, möjliggöra återstart av Ringhals 1 och 2, se till att statliga lånegarantier omfattar kärnkraften, modernisera regelverken och ge kärnkraften betalt för att den alltid finns tillgänglig.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Instead, we want to enable more new reactors at more sites, enable restart of Ringhals 1 and 2, ensure that state loan guarantees cover nuclear power, modernize the regulations and pay nuclear power for always being available.”
• expanded nuclear power»Utveckla – inte avveckla – kärnkraften.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Develop – not phase out – nuclear power.”
• nuclear power for climate»Kärnkraften behövs för klimatets skull och för att minska världens utsläpp. Staten bör underlätta« (party programme ↗)“Nuclear power is needed for climate reasons and to reduce world emissions. The state should facilitate”
• state facilitates investments»demonstrationsanläggningar, avfallshantering och insatser för att marknaden ska kunna investera« (party programme ↗)“demonstration plants, waste management and measures so that the market can invest”

The election manifesto requires that nuclear power is given long-term conditions to develop and that new reactors are built, and the party programme wants to secure energy supply with fixed rules without electricity shortage. A requirement for a significantly more thorough impact analysis before the financing model is implemented postpones precisely the expansion the plan requires. The plan's requirement for restraint with public expenditure weighs against but does not support the counter-proposal.

• expanded nuclear powerdecisive»Satsa på kärnkraften med långsiktiga villkor att utvecklas. Förläng befintliga reaktorers drift och bygg ut med nya reaktorer.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Invest in nuclear power with long-term conditions to develop. Extend the operation of existing reactors and expand with new reactors.”
• fixed rules in energy policy»Sveriges energiförsörjning ska tryggas genom en långsiktig energipolitik med fasta spelregler« (party programme ↗)“Sweden's energy supply must be secured through a long-term energy policy with fixed rules”
• avoid electricity shortage»Målet är ett ekologiskt hållbart energisystem utan drastiska prisförändringar, elbrist eller andra betydande påfrestningar på välfärd och sysselsättning.« (party programme ↗)“The goal is an ecologically sustainable energy system without drastic price changes, electricity shortage or other significant hardships on welfare and employment.”
• restraint with public expenditure»Sparandet i den svenska ekonomin måste hållas högt genom hushållssparande och genom återhållsamhet i de offentliga utgifterna.« (party programme ↗)“Savings in the Swedish economy must be kept high through household savings and through restraint in public expenditure.”

The plan explicitly commits to the state guaranteeing loans and introducing green credit guarantees and a government high-cost protection for the construction of new nuclear power, in order to enable ten new reactors. The counter-proposal's demand for a significantly more thoroughly worked-through consequence analysis before the financing and risk-sharing model is implemented delays precisely the model the plan wants in place. The plan therefore speaks against the demand.

• government credit guarantees for nuclear powerdecisive»Införa gröna kreditgarantier för ny kärnkraft – staten ska underlätta finansieringen« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Introduce green credit guarantees for new nuclear power – the state shall facilitate financing”
• government high-cost protection»Införa ett statligt högkostnadsskydd för konstruktionen av ny kärnkraft« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Introduce a government high-cost protection for the construction of new nuclear power”
• ten new reactors»Moderaterna vill att staten garanterar lån för byggandet av ny kärnkraft – det skulle möjliggöra att 10 nya reaktorer byggs.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The Moderates want the state to guarantee loans for the construction of new nuclear power – this would make it possible to build 10 new reactors.”
• new nuclear power is the solution»Ny kärnkraft är lösningen för att reparera Sveriges energisystem på lång sikt.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“New nuclear power is the solution to repair Sweden's energy system in the long term.”

The election manifesto requires a long-term investment in next-generation nuclear power and a roadmap for SMR reactors, as well as more efficient and predictable processes for electricity supply. A requirement for a considerably more thorough impact analysis before the financing model is implemented delays precisely the expansion the plan prioritizes. The plan therefore speaks against the requirement.

• roadmap for new nuclear powerdecisive»Skapa förutsättningar för ny kärnkraft i Sverige och en färdplan för byggandet av SMR-reaktorer« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Create conditions for new nuclear power in Sweden and a roadmap for building SMR reactors”
• long-term nuclear power investment»Sverigedemokraterna vill göra en långsiktig satsning på den nya generationens kärnkraft.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Sweden Democrats wish to make a long-term investment in the next generation of nuclear power.”
• planned electricity production»Sverige behöver satsa på planerbar och fossilfri elproduktion.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Sweden needs to invest in planned and fossil-free electricity production.”
• faster processes»Effektivisera och öka förutsägbarheten i tillståndsprocesserna för gruvnäring, elnätsutbyggnad och industri« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Streamline and increase predictability in permit processes for mining, electricity network expansion and industry”