2024-03-202023/24:MJU8 · p.1MJUEnvironment & agriculture
Consequences of lowered reduction levels
The consequences of lowering the reduction-obligation levels for petrol and diesel
What's at stake: The reduction obligation determines how much renewable fuel must be blended into petrol and diesel; the level affects emission reductions from the transport sector, fuel prices for households and businesses, and employment in the forestry and biofuel industries.
Case texts and AI reasoning are AI-translated from the Swedish originals; the Swedish text is authoritative.
What the vote decides
The question is whether the lowered reduction-obligation levels for petrol and diesel were justified in light of the Riksrevisionen audit, or whether the reduction risks climate targets, green jobs and supply security without adequate impact analysis.
Yes Yes — the committee proposal
The committee welcomes the Riksrevisionen audit and agrees with the conclusion that the reduction obligation can partly contribute to climate goals but that its earlier design was not workable and lacked full impact analysis. The committee shared the government's assessment in the bill on lowering the reduction levels and notes that several efforts, including a climate action plan and an upcoming inquiry into cost-effective policy instruments for the following years, are meant to ensure cost-effective measures without unreasonable costs for households and businesses. The motion is rejected.
No No — the reservations
Reservation 1 (S)
The reservation expresses deep concern about the consequences of lowering the reduction-obligation levels for petrol and diesel and argues that the reduction obligation is needed to meet climate targets and to let the forestry sector, employment and supply preparedness grow through the production and use of biofuels; it calls for impact analyses of the reduction and a full account of compensating measures, such as the cost of purchasing emission allowances and possible restrictions on driving or logging.
Summarised from the committee report. Party labels in the summary come from the report, not from the vote.
What do the votes mean here?
Yes The committee proposal: rejecting the motions (keeping things as they are).
No Backing the counter-proposal: reservation 1 by S.
Abstain The party marks a position of its own that is not one of the two final alternatives.
The decision would have held
Explicit commitments that contradicted the vote: LLiberalerna
Ja 184–92Ja 173–103
Counterfactual: the parties above are moved to the position their own documents explicitly point at, carrying their whole contingent present. Every other party keeps its real figures, including dissenters and absentees.
How the AI parties would have voted
For each party: what its own plan – election manifesto and party programme – argues for in this case, next to how the party actually voted. The AI can only answer Yes or No; a party can also abstain.
| AI | Vote | Confidence | Evidence | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V | No | Abstain 2/0/16/6 | differs | confidence: high | derived |
| S | No | No 0/91/0/15 | match | confidence: high | explicit |
| MP | No | Yes 14/0/1/3 | differs | confidence: high | derived |
| C | No | Yes 21/0/0/3 | differs | confidence: medium | derived |
| L | No | Yes 11/0/0/5 | differsagainst own programme | confidence: medium | explicit |
| KD | Yes | Yes 15/0/0/4 | match | confidence: high | explicit |
| M | Yes | Yes 58/0/0/10 | match | confidence: medium | derived |
| SD | Yes | Yes 62/0/0/10 | match | confidence: high | explicit |
Broke with the party line
| VAndreas Lennkvist Manriquez (V, Stockholms kommun) | Yes — party line: Abstain |
| VDaniel Riazat (V, Stockholms län) | Yes — party line: Abstain |
| MPMats Berglund (MP, Stockholms kommun) | Abstain — party line: Yes |
MPs whose vote differs from their party's majority position in this division. Marked with a dark ring in the chamber view.
Committee proposal
Parliament rejects motion 2023/24:2791 by Anna-Caren Sätherberg et al. (S) petitions 1 and 2.
Original (Swedish)
Riksdagen avslår motion 2023/24:2791 av Anna-Caren Sätherberg m.fl. (S) yrkandena 1 och 2.
Riksdag decision: Parliament has addressed a letter from the government concerning the Swedish National Audit Office's examination of whether the reduction mandate contributes to achieving climate policy goals efficiently or not. The National Audit Office examined the earlier design of the reduction mandate, that is, before the decision was made to lower and abolish the reduction levels for petrol and diesel. The National Audit Office's overall conclusion is that the reduction mandate partially contributes to achieving climate policy goals efficiently. The National Audit Office also submitted recommendations to the government and the Swedish Energy Agency. In its letter, the government agrees with the National Audit Office's findings that the reduction mandate can partially contribute to climate policy goals efficiently but that in its current form it is not feasible. Thereupon, parliament laid the government's letter on file, that is, concluded the matter.
Counter-proposals
- The counter-proposal wants to maintain the current levels of the biofuel reduction mandate to achieve climate goals and support the green transition. (S) — Reservation 1
Plan vs actual vote
Every party, in chamber order: what its own plan pointed to, how it voted, and the reasoning behind both. Highlighted rows are where the two differ — but a vote that follows the plan is a result too, so the reasoning is there for every party.
The plan declares a climate emergency and requires that all political decisions take into account the acute crisis and strengthened governance based on new, sharpened climate goals.
Plan documents: 2022 manifesto
Reasoning and quotes
The plan declares a climate emergency and requires that all political decisions take into account the acute crisis and strengthened governance based on new, sharpened climate goals. Requiring consequence analyses and reporting of compensatory measures when reduction levels are lowered follows directly from this. The plan, however, conditions biofuels: only residual products from harvested forest shall be used for biofuel.
Original (Swedish)
Planen förklarar klimatnödläge och kräver att alla politiska beslut tar hänsyn till den akuta krisen samt en stärkt styrning utifrån nya, skärpta klimatmål. Att kräva konsekvensanalyser och redovisning av kompenserande åtgärder när reduktionsnivåerna sänks följer direkt av det. Planen villkorar dock biodrivmedel: endast restprodukter från avverkad skog ska användas till biobränsle.
- sharpened climate goals and governancedecisive»Investeringar i grön teknik, industri och infrastruktur, utbyggd energikapacitet och stärkt styrning utifrån nya, skärpta klimatmål behövs.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Investments in green technology, industry and infrastructure, expanded energy capacity and strengthened governance based on new, sharpened climate goals are needed.”
- climate consideration in all decisions»Omställningen behöver ske omgående och alla politiska beslut behöver ta hänsyn till den akuta kris som vi befinner oss i.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The transition needs to happen immediately and all political decisions need to take into account the acute crisis we are in.”
- climate emergency»Vi befinner oss i ett klimatnödläge.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“We are in a climate emergency.”
- restrictive view on biofuel»Den skog som avverkas måste användas klokt där endast restprodukter ska användas till biobränsle.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The forest that is harvested must be used wisely where only residual products shall be used for biofuel.”
The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.
The election manifesto wants to increase Swedish production of renewable fuels and establishes that the climate policy framework shall remain fixed and that the pace of emissions reduction must increase.
Plan documents: 2022 manifesto
Reasoning and quotes
The election manifesto wants to increase Swedish production of renewable fuels and establishes that the climate policy framework shall remain fixed and that the pace of emissions reduction must increase. A reduction of reduction levels pulls in the opposite direction, and the counter-proposal's demands for consequence analyses and reporting of compensating measures protect the plan's commitments. The goal of net zero emissions by 2045 is the decisive binding.
Original (Swedish)
Valmanifestet vill öka den svenska produktionen av förnybara drivmedel och slår fast att det klimatpolitiska ramverket ska ligga fast och att takten i utsläppsminskningen måste öka. En sänkning av reduktionsnivåerna drar åt motsatt håll, och motförslagets krav på konsekvensanalyser och redovisning av kompenserande åtgärder skyddar planens åtaganden. Målet om nettonollutsläpp 2045 är den avgörande bindningen.
- increase production of renewable fuelsdecisive»Vi vill öka den svenska produktionen av förnybara drivmedel, så att det blir lättare att tanka fossilfritt i Sverige.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“We want to increase Swedish production of renewable fuels, so that it becomes easier to refuel fossil-free in Sweden.”
- the climate framework remains fixed»Det klimatpolitiska ramverket ska ligga fast.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The climate policy framework shall remain fixed.”
- net zero emissions 2045»År 2045 ska Sverige inte ha några nettoutsläpp av växthusgaser till atmosfären, för att därefter uppnå negativa utsläpp.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“By 2045 Sweden shall have no net emissions of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, and thereafter achieve negative emissions.”
- increased pace of emissions reduction»Redan nu minskar utsläppen i vårt land, men takten måste öka.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Already now emissions are decreasing in our country, but the pace must increase.”
The election manifesto wants to develop an emissions budget that achieves climate targets and establishes that transport emissions must decline for the targets to be met; lowering reduction levels goes in the opposite direction.
Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme
Reasoning and quotes
The election manifesto wants to develop an emissions budget that achieves climate targets and establishes that transport emissions must decline for the targets to be met; lowering reduction levels goes in the opposite direction. The counter-proposal's demands for impact assessments and reporting of compensatory measures follow directly from the plan making target achievement binding. The plan also wants to phase out fossil subsidies and use powerful economic instruments, which speaks against allowing cheaper fossil fuel use to undermine the targets.
Original (Swedish)
Valmanifestet vill ta fram en utsläppsbudget som gör att klimatmålen nås och slår fast att trafikens utsläpp måste minska för att målen ska klaras; en sänkning av reduktionsnivåerna går i motsatt riktning. Motförslagets krav på konsekvensanalyser och redovisning av kompenserande åtgärder följer direkt av att planen gör måluppfyllelsen bindande. Planen vill också fasa ut fossila subventioner och använda kraftfulla ekonomiska styrmedel, vilket talar mot att billigare fossil drivmedelsanvändning tillåts urholka målen.
- climate targets shall be metdecisive»ta fram en svensk utsläppsbudget som gör att vi når klimatmålen.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“develop a Swedish emissions budget that achieves our climate targets.”
- reduced transport emissions»Trafikens utsläpp måste minska om vi ska ha en chans att klara klimatmålen.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Transport emissions must decline if we are to have a chance of meeting climate targets.”
- no fossil subsidies»fasa ut fossila subventioner.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“phase out fossil subsidies.”
- powerful climate instruments»Kraftfulla ekonomiska styrmedel är nödvändiga.« (party programme ↗)“Powerful economic instruments are necessary.”
The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.
The election manifesto wants to lower tax on biofuels blended into petrol and diesel to the maximum and multiply domestic biofuel production, with forests as the key to transition.
Plan documents: 2022 manifesto
Reasoning and quotes
The election manifesto wants to lower tax on biofuels blended into petrol and diesel to the maximum and multiply domestic biofuel production, with forests as the key to transition. Reducing reduction levels pulls in the opposite direction, and the demand for consequence analyses and reported compensating measures follows from the plan's placing climate first. The plan therefore supports the counter-proposal's demand.
Original (Swedish)
Valmanifestet vill sänka skatten maximalt på biodrivmedel som blandas in i bensin och diesel och mångdubbla den inhemska produktionen av biobränslen, med skogen som nyckel i omställningen. Att sänka reduktionsnivåerna drar åt motsatt håll, och kravet på konsekvensanalyser och redovisade kompenserande åtgärder följer av att planen sätter klimatet först. Planen stöder därför motförslagets krav.
- promote blended biofuelsdecisive»Sänk skatten maximalt på biodrivmedel som blandas in i bensin och diesel. Det skulle sänka bilisternas kostnader, gynna klimatet, skapa jobb och minska Sveriges oljeberoende.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Lower tax to the maximum on biofuels blended into petrol and diesel. This would lower motorists' costs, benefit the climate, create jobs and reduce Sweden's dependence on oil.”
- multiply biofuel production»Sveriges energioberoende måste stärkas, bland annat genom att mångdubbla produktionen av biobränslen och biogas.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Sweden's energy independence must be strengthened, among other things by multiplying biofuel and biogas production.”
- forests in transition»Skogen är en nyckel i den gröna omställningen.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Forests are a key to the green transition.”
- climate first»Centerpartiet sätter klimatet först, för att framtiden måste vara grön.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The Centre Party puts climate first, so the future must be green.”
The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.
The plan states that fossil emissions from the transport sector must end and that blending of fossil-free fuels shall continue, which is exactly what the blend obligation does.
Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme
Reasoning and quotes
The plan states that fossil emissions from the transport sector must end and that blending of fossil-free fuels shall continue, which is exactly what the blend obligation does. The plan also binds itself to the climate goals to 2045 and wants to take advantage of forests' potential in energy production. Requiring consequence analyses and reporting of compensating measures when lowering follows from the goals to be reached and that the polluter shall pay.
Original (Swedish)
Planen slår fast att fossilutsläppen från transportsektorn ska bort och att en inblandning av fossilfria bränslen ska fortsätta, vilket är just det reduktionsplikten gör. Planen binder sig dessutom vid klimatmålen till 2045 och vill ta tillvara skogens potential inom energiproduktion. Att kräva konsekvensanalyser och redovisning av kompenserande åtgärder vid en sänkning följer av att målen ska nås och att förorenaren ska betala.
- continued blending of fossil-free fuelsdecisive»Fossilutsläppen från transportsektorn ska bort. Fler ska välja elbilen och en inblandning av fossilfria bränslen ska fortsätta.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Fossil emissions from the transport sector must end. More shall choose the electric car and a blend of fossil-free fuels shall continue.”
- climate goals 2045»Vi ska nå klimatmålen – inga nettoutsläpp av växthusgaser senast 2045 och därefter negativa utsläpp – inom ramen för en växande ekonomi.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“We shall reach the climate goals – no net greenhouse gas emissions by 2045 and thereafter negative emissions – within the framework of a growing economy.”
- utilize forests' potential»Skogens potential inom förnybara material, kemiska produkter, textilier och energiproduktion ska« (party programme ↗)“Forests' potential in renewable materials, chemical products, textiles and energy production shall”
- polluter pays»Det är den som förorenar – ingen annan – som ska betala.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“It is the one who pollutes – no one else – who shall pay.”
The stance rests on the quoted commitment in the party's own documents; the actual vote deviated. Click the quote to verify it in the document.
The election manifesto explicitly promises to lower petrol and diesel prices significantly, primarily through reduced blending of expensive biofuel.
Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme
Reasoning and quotes
The election manifesto explicitly promises to lower petrol and diesel prices significantly, primarily through reduced blending of expensive biofuel. The counter-proposal instead wishes to safeguard high reduction levels and problematizes the reduction. The plan considers those who live outside major cities and depend on their car, at the same time as reduced climate emissions is an explicit area.
Original (Swedish)
Valmanifestet lovar uttryckligen att sänka bensin- och dieselpriserna rejält, främst genom minskad inblandning av dyrt biobränsle. Motförslaget vill i stället värna höga reduktionsnivåer och problematiserar sänkningen. Planen ser den som bor utanför storstäderna och är beroende av sin bil, samtidigt som minskade klimatutsläpp är ett uttalat område.
- reduced biofuel blendingdecisive»Sänk bensin- och dieselpriserna rejält för alla, främst genom minskad inblandningen av dyrt biobränsle.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Lower petrol and diesel prices significantly for everyone, primarily through reduced blending of expensive biofuel.”
- consideration for car-dependent households»Vi ser den som bor utanför storstäderna och är beroende av sin bil.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“We see those who live outside major cities and depend on their car.”
- reduced climate emissions»MINSKADE KLIMATUTSLÄPP« (2022 manifesto ↗)“REDUCED CLIMATE EMISSIONS”
- reduce transport emissions»Transportsektorns stora beroende av fossila bränslen utgör en stor utmaning« (party programme ↗)“The transport sector's great dependence on fossil fuels is a major challenge”
The election manifesto explicitly promises to lower the price of petrol and diesel and points out the world's highest diesel prices as one of the mistakes that should be corrected.
Plan documents: 2022 manifesto
Reasoning and quotes
The election manifesto explicitly promises to lower the price of petrol and diesel and points out the world's highest diesel prices as one of the mistakes that should be corrected. A counter-proposal that turns against reduced reduction rates and wants to keep a higher blending counteracts that commitment. That the plan also wants to invest in the production of biofuels and reach net zero 2045 does not change that the price promise is the bearing one.
Original (Swedish)
Valmanifestet lovar uttryckligen att sänka priset på bensin och diesel och pekar ut världens högsta dieselpriser som ett av de misstag som ska städas undan. Ett motförslag som vänder sig mot sänkta reduktionsnivåer och vill hålla kvar en högre inblandning motverkar det åtagandet. Att planen också vill satsa på tillverkning av biodrivmedel och nå nettonoll 2045 ändrar inte att prislöftet är det bärande.
- lowered fuel pricesdecisive»Sänka priset på bensin och diesel så att du klarar din vardagsekonomi« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Lower the price of petrol and diesel so that you manage your everyday economy”
- too expensive fuel»Världens högsta dieselpriser.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The world's highest diesel prices.”
- domestic biofuels»Satsa på tillverkning av biodrivmedel« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Invest in the production of biofuels”
- net zero emissions 2045»Vi ska som land ta fullt ansvar här hemma och nå nettonollutsläpp senast år 2045.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“We shall as a country take full responsibility here at home and reach net zero emissions no later than 2045.”
The plan explicitly demands lower petrol and diesel prices through reduced blending obligations and less use of expensive imported biofuels.
Plan documents: 2022 manifesto
Reasoning and quotes
The plan explicitly demands lower petrol and diesel prices through reduced blending obligations and less use of expensive imported biofuels. The counter-proposal instead wants to protect the blending levels and problematize the reduction, which is the exact opposite of the plan's commitment. The plan also states that Swedish climate targets should be adapted to the EU level rather than driven further at the cost of living standards and competitiveness.
Original (Swedish)
Planen kräver uttryckligen sänkt bensin- och dieselpris genom minskad reduktionsplikt och mindre användning av dyra importerade biodrivmedel. Motförslaget vill i stället värna reduktionsnivåerna och problematisera sänkningen, vilket är raka motsatsen till planens åtagande. Planen slår dessutom fast att svenska klimatmål ska anpassas till EU-nivån snarare än drivas längre på bekostnad av levnadsstandard och konkurrenskraft.
- reduced blending obligationsdecisive»Sänka bensin- och dieselpriset genom sänkt bränsleskatt och minskad reduktionsplikt.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Lower petrol and diesel prices through reduced fuel tax and reduced blending obligations.”
- criticism of biofuel policy»Bensin- och dieselpriset vid pump måste minska där särskilt dieseln idag påverkas av en radikal svensk biodrivmedelspolitik som till stor del handlar om att importera ohållbara biodrivmedel från utlandet.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Petrol and diesel prices at the pump must decrease, where diesel in particular is today affected by a radical Swedish biofuel policy that largely amounts to importing unsustainable biofuels from abroad.”
- less imported biofuels»Minska användningen av miljöskadliga och dyra biodrivmedel från utlandet« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Reduce the use of environmentally harmful and expensive biofuels from abroad”
- climate targets adapted to EU»De svenska klimatmålen bör anpassas till den klimatlagstiftning som finns på EU-nivå för att inte kraven på andra länder ska bli lägre som en konsekvens av att vi gör mer än nödvändigt på bekostnad av vår levnadsstandard och konkurrenskraft.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Swedish climate targets should be adapted to the climate legislation that exists at EU level so that demands on other countries do not become lower as a consequence of us doing more than necessary at the cost of our living standard and competitiveness.”
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Sources and documents
- The committee report on riksdagen.se (2023/24:MJU8)
- Committee report full text (HB01MJU8)
- Per-MP voting data (API)
- Case status (API)
Documents under consideration
- Motion 2023/24:2787 — med anledning av skr. 2023/24:44 Riksrevisionens rapport om reduktionsplikten för bensin och diesel av Rickard Nordin m.fl. (C)
- Motion 2023/24:2790 — med anledning av skr. 2023/24:44 Riksrevisionens rapport om reduktionsplikten för bensin och diesel av Elin Söderberg m.fl. (MP)
- Motion 2023/24:2791 — med anledning av skr. 2023/24:44 Riksrevisionens rapport om reduktionsplikten för bensin och diesel av Anna-Caren Sätherberg m.fl. (S)
- Regeringens skrivelse 2023/24:44 — Riksrevisionens rapport om reduktionsplikten för bensin och diesel
Source: The Swedish Parliament