2023-06-202022/23:FiU20 · p.1FiUEconomy & finance
Guidelines for economic and budgetary policy
What's at stake: The guidelines steer how much the state borrows and spends during a downturn with high inflation, rising interest rates and growing unemployment. That affects household purchasing power, municipalities' ability to sustain health care, schools and elderly care, and business investment.
Case texts and AI reasoning are AI-translated from the Swedish originals; the Swedish text is authoritative.
What the vote decides
The question is whether the Riksdag should approve the government's guidelines for economic and fiscal policy, aimed at pushing inflation down while holding to the fiscal policy targets, or instead follow the opposition's guidelines with more active measures against price increases and larger public investment.
Yes Yes — the committee proposal
The committee shares the government's picture of a downturn in 2023 and 2024 with high inflation, rising interest costs and increasing unemployment, and holds that policy must therefore be aimed at bringing inflation down while keeping the fiscal policy targets and a responsible budget policy intact. The Riksdag thereby approves the government's guidelines and rejects the alternative guidelines in the motions.
No No — the reservations
Reservation 1 (S)
The reservation (S) instead calls for a price commission, increased investment in the labour market and in defence, securing the welfare services, and adding 60 TWh of fossil-free electricity by 2030. The reasoning is that households and public welfare need more active protection during the downturn and that the green transition requires larger public investment.
Summarised from the committee report. Party labels in the summary come from the report, not from the vote.
What do the votes mean here?
Yes The committee proposal: approving what the committee proposes and rejecting the motions (keeping things as they are).
No Backing the counter-proposal: reservation 1 by S.
Abstain The party marks a position of its own that is not one of the two final alternatives.
What each plan points to — and how the party voted
For each party: the vote its own election manifesto and party programme point to in this case, next to how the party actually voted. A plan can only point to Yes or No; a party can also abstain.
| Plan | Vote | Confidence | Evidence | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V | No | Abstain 0/0/21/3 | departs from the plan | confidence: medium | derived |
| S | No | No 0/94/0/13 | follows the plan | confidence: high | explicit |
| MP | No | Abstain 0/0/15/3 | departs from the plan | confidence: low | derived |
| C | Yes | Abstain 0/0/20/4 | departs from the plan | confidence: medium | derived |
| L | Yes | Yes 14/0/0/2 | follows the plan | confidence: medium | derived |
| KD | Yes | Yes 16/0/0/3 | follows the plan | confidence: medium | derived |
| M | Yes | Yes 60/0/0/8 | follows the plan | confidence: medium | derived |
| SD | Yes | Yes 62/0/0/10 | follows the plan | confidence: medium | derived |
Committee proposal
Parliament approves the guidelines for economic and budgetary policy that the government proposes. Thereby Parliament adopts government bill 2022/23:100 point 1 and rejects the motions 2022/23:615 by Markus Kallifatides (S) items 1-3, 2022/23:1121 by Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist et al. (C) items 3 and 4, 2022/23:1162 by Joakim Järrebring (S), 2022/23:1313 by Mathias Tegnér (S), 2022/23:2175 by Per Bolund et al. (MP) item 15, 2022/23:2383 by Per Bolund et al. (MP), 2022/23:2385 by Nooshi Dadgostar et al. (V), 2022/23:2388 by Magdalena Andersson et al. (S), and 2022/23:2389 by Martin Ådahl et al. (C).
Original (Swedish)
Riksdagen godkänner de riktlinjer för den ekonomiska politiken och budgetpolitiken som regeringen föreslår. Därmed bifaller riksdagen proposition 2022/23:100 punkt 1 och avslår motionerna 2022/23:615 av Markus Kallifatides (S) yrkandena 1-3, 2022/23:1121 av Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist m.fl. (C) yrkandena 3 och 4, 2022/23:1162 av Joakim Järrebring (S), 2022/23:1313 av Mathias Tegnér (S), 2022/23:2175 av Per Bolund m.fl. (MP) yrkande 15, 2022/23:2383 av Per Bolund m.fl. (MP), 2022/23:2385 av Nooshi Dadgostar m.fl. (V), 2022/23:2388 av Magdalena Andersson m.fl. (S) och 2022/23:2389 av Martin Ådahl m.fl. (C).
Riksdag decision: Parliament approved the government's proposal for guidelines for economic policy in the spring government bill. The economic downturn and reduced economic activity are expected to weaken the public sector's finances during 2024, but with gradual strengthening during 2025 and 2026. The Committee welcomes that the government aims for the so-called surplus target, which is a goal for the public sector's financial savings, in formulating the direction of fiscal policy. A neutral fiscal policy in line with the surplus target makes it possible for monetary policy to work so that inflation decreases over time. Parliament agrees with the government that economic policy should be directed at combating inflation and supporting vulnerable households. The economic downturn should be met with structural reforms for, among other things, a competitive and innovative business sector. The so-called work line should be reintroduced and a benefits reform should increase incentives to enter the labour market. Other reforms include combating organised crime, increasing the number of qualified teachers, shortening waiting times in healthcare and increasing healthcare places, strengthening defence and crisis preparedness, and improving energy supply and reducing emissions.
Counter-proposals
- The counter-proposal wants to create a price commission, increase labor market and defense spending, ensure welfare, and provide 60 TWh of fossil-free electricity by 2030. (S) — Reservation 1
Plan vs actual vote
Every party, in chamber order: what its own plan pointed to, how it voted, and the reasoning behind both. Highlighted rows are where the two differ — but a vote that follows the plan is a result too, so the reasoning is there for every party.
The plan wants full employment to be the overarching goal for fiscal and monetary policy and demands massive investments in climate, jobs and welfare instead of restraint.
Plan documents: party programme · 2022 manifesto
Reasoning and quotes
The plan wants full employment to be the overarching goal for fiscal and monetary policy and demands massive investments in climate, jobs and welfare instead of restraint. A more active policy against price increases, investments in the labour market, secured welfare and expanded fossil-free electricity production respond to this. The plan's opposition to increased militarisation, however, goes against the counter-proposal's defence investment.
Original (Swedish)
Planen vill att full sysselsättning ska vara det övergripande målet för finans- och penningpolitiken och kräver massiva investeringar i klimat, jobb och välfärd i stället för återhållsamhet. En mer aktiv politik mot prisökningarna, investeringar i arbetsmarknaden, säkrad välfärd och utbyggd fossilfri elproduktion svarar mot detta. Planens motstånd mot ökad militarisering går däremot emot motförslagets försvarssatsning.
- full employment as goaldecisive»Vänsterpartiet vill att full sysselsättning ska vara det« (party programme ↗)“The Left Party wants full employment to be the”
- massive investments»Men då krävs stora satsningar, omfördelning och massiva investeringar för att ge människor goda levnadsvillkor, ta itu med klimatkrisen och skapa jobb i hela landet.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“But that requires major investments, redistribution and massive investments to give people good living conditions, tackle the climate crisis and create jobs across the whole country.”
- more resources to welfare»Att vi i Vänsterpartiet anser att mycket mer resurser ska och kan satsas på välfärd, klimatinvesteringar, vård och jobbpolitik än vad de andra partierna gör« (2022 manifesto ↗)“That we in the Left Party believe much more resources should and can be invested in welfare, climate investments, care and job policy than what the other parties do”
- against increased militarisation»Vänsterpartiet anser att Sverige ska vara en röst för fred och rättvisa, inte för ökad militarisering.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The Left Party believes Sweden should be a voice for peace and justice, not for increased militarisation.”
Worldstate weighed in: Inflation 9.7 per cent and key interest rate 3.5 per cent — the plan's demand for active policy against price increases weighs more heavily than budget consolidation; Unemployment 7.2 per cent and zero growth — the plan's goal of full employment argues for investments ahead of austerity
The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.
The plan builds on targeted and smart support against price increases, active labour market policy in economically uncertain times, defence appropriations of two percent of GDP and rapidly expanded electricity production to press down electricity prices.
Plan documents: 2022 manifesto
Reasoning and quotes
The plan builds on targeted and smart support against price increases, active labour market policy in economically uncertain times, defence appropriations of two percent of GDP and rapidly expanded electricity production to press down electricity prices. The counter-proposal's demand for more active policy against price increases, increased investment in labour market and defence, secured welfare and vigorous expansion of fossil-free electricity meets these commitments point by point.
Original (Swedish)
Planen bygger på riktade och smarta stöd mot prisökningarna, en aktiv arbetsmarknadspolitik i oroliga tider, försvarsanslag på två procent av BNP och en snabbt utbyggd elproduktion för att pressa elpriserna. Motförslagets krav på mer aktiv politik mot prisökningarna, ökade investeringar i arbetsmarknad och försvar, säkrad välfärd och kraftig utbyggnad av fossilfri el motsvarar dessa åtaganden punkt för punkt.
- targeted support against price increasesdecisive»Stöd till de som drabbas hårdast av prisökningarna. Med riktade och smarta stöd kan vi stötta människor utan att driva på inflationen.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Support for those hit hardest by price increases. With targeted and smart support we can support people without driving up inflation.”
- active labour market policy»En aktiv arbetsmarknadspolitik för fler jobb är särskilt viktig i ekonomiskt oroliga tider.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“An active labour market policy for more jobs is especially important in economically uncertain times.”
- increased defence appropriations»Anslagen till det militära försvaret ska öka till motsvarande två procent av BNP.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Appropriations for military defence shall increase to two percent of GDP.”
- expanded electricity production»Minska trycket på elpriserna genom en snabbt utbyggd elproduktion.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Reduce pressure on electricity prices through rapidly expanded electricity production.”
The plan's economic line is major public investments in the transition, strong safety nets and those with the most money contributing more, and that fiscal and monetary policy shall moderate economic fluctuations and work for stable prices and low unemployment.
Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme
Reasoning and quotes
The plan's economic line is major public investments in the transition, strong safety nets and those with the most money contributing more, and that fiscal and monetary policy shall moderate economic fluctuations and work for stable prices and low unemployment. The counter-proposal's active policy against price increases, investments in the labour market and secured welfare lies closer to the plan than an approach that merely holds to budget targets. However, that electricity production is described as fossil-free rather than renewable is a deviation from the plan, so the confidence is low.
Original (Swedish)
Planens ekonomiska linje är stora offentliga investeringar i omställningen, starka skyddsnät och att de med mest pengar bidrar mer, samt att finans- och penningpolitiken ska dämpa konjunktursvängningar och verka för stabila priser och låg arbetslöshet. Motförslagets aktiva politik mot prisökningar, investeringar i arbetsmarknaden och säkrad välfärd ligger närmare planen än en inriktning som enbart håller fast budgetmålen. Att elproduktionen beskrivs som fossilfri snarare än förnybar är dock en avvikelse från planen, varför säkerheten är låg.
- major transition investmentsdecisive»investera minst 100 miljarder per år i att ställa om så att Sverige blir ett fossilfritt välfärdsland senast år 2030.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“invest at least 100 billion per year in transforming so that Sweden becomes a fossil-free welfare nation by 2030.”
- secured welfare»Vi vill bygga skyddsnäten starka så att alla kan vara trygga och ingen lämnas utanför.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“We wish to build the safety nets strong so that everyone can be secure and no one is left out.”
- stable prices and low unemployment»penningpolitik dämpa effekter av konjunkturvariationer och verka för stabila priser och låg« (party programme ↗)“monetary policy moderate the effects of economic fluctuations and work for stable prices and low”
- the richest contribute more»att de med mest pengar, som också orsakar större utsläpp, ska bidra mer till omställningen och välfärden genom en progressiv beskattning av kapital.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“that those with the most money, who also cause greater emissions, shall contribute more to the transition and welfare through progressive taxation of capital.”
Worldstate weighed in: Inflation 10.5 per cent and policy rate 3.5 per cent — Price stability becomes an acute goal that the plan has not dimensioned for, which makes active measures against price increases relevant; Rising unemployment 7.2 per cent and zero growth — Strengthens the plan's demands for investments in the labour market and welfare ahead of tightening
The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.
The plan's decisive commitment in economic policy is that the fiscal framework shall be protected, that the tax burden shall be reduced and that prices shall be dampened through freer markets and better competition, not through a prices commission.
Plan documents: 2022 manifesto
Reasoning and quotes
The plan's decisive commitment in economic policy is that the fiscal framework shall be protected, that the tax burden shall be reduced and that prices shall be dampened through freer markets and better competition, not through a prices commission. The counter-proposal's broad spending package thus goes against the plan's demand to manage taxpayers' money, even though parts on defence and fossil-free electricity coincide with the plan.
Original (Swedish)
Planens avgörande åtagande i den ekonomiska politiken är att det finanspolitiska ramverket ska värnas, att skattetrycket ska ner och att priserna ska dämpas genom friare marknader och bättre konkurrens, inte genom en priskommission. Motförslagets breda utgiftspaket går därmed emot planens krav på att hushålla med skattebetalarnas pengar, även om delar om försvar och fossilfri el sammanfaller med planen.
- protected fiscal frameworkdecisive»Det finanspolitiska ramverket ska värnas och förstärkas, och Sveriges långsiktiga ekonomiska stabilitet ska försvaras. Politiken ska hushålla med skattebetalarnas pengar. Mer pengar ska läggas på välfärdens kärna, mindre på bidrag.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The fiscal framework shall be protected and strengthened, and Sweden's long-term economic stability shall be defended. Policy shall manage taxpayers' money. More money shall be spent on welfare's core, less on benefits.”
- lower tax burden»Det totala skattetrycket måste ner nästa mandatperiod. Vi kommer inte att medverka till några skattehöjningar som skadar jobben, det egna sparandet eller gör det dyrare att bo.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The total tax burden must come down next term. We will not participate in any tax increases that harm jobs, personal savings or make it more expensive to live.”
- competition instead of price control»Genom att skapa friare marknader och förbättra konkurrensen kan vi dämpa priserna ytterligare.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“By creating freer markets and improving competition, we can further dampen prices.”
Worldstate weighed in: Inflation at 10.5 percent and policy rate at 3.5 percent — Sharpens the plan's demand for restrained fiscal policy and price dampening through competition; Recession with unemployment at 7.2 percent — Justifies job reforms but not the spending increases the counter-proposal demands
flags: citat_blockerat
The plan takes no explicit position on what the committee actually decided — often because the committee's reason was procedural. The stance is derived and fully cited, but it does not show the party broke a commitment.
The plan wants to counter inflationary pressure and stipulates that stable public finances and low state debt is what creates room to meet crises, with market economy as the foundation.
Plan documents: 2022 manifesto · party programme
Reasoning and quotes
The plan wants to counter inflationary pressure and stipulates that stable public finances and low state debt is what creates room to meet crises, with market economy as the foundation. A price commission and broad spending increases in a situation of ten per cent inflation goes against that line, even though the plan shares the counter-proposal's demand for increased defence investments and more fossil-free electricity. Overall, the counter-proposal's direction is rejected.
Original (Swedish)
Planen vill mota inflationstrycket och slår fast att stabila offentliga finanser och låg statsskuld är det som ger utrymme att möta kriser, med marknadsekonomin som grund. En priskommission och breda utgiftsökningar i ett läge med tio procents inflation strider mot den linjen, även om planen delar motförslagets krav på ökade försvarsinvesteringar och mer fossilfri el. Sammantaget avvisas motförslagets inriktning.
- inflation shall be pressed downdecisive»Vi vill mota inflationstrycket.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“We want to counter inflationary pressure.”
- responsible fiscal policy»Stabila offentliga finanser och låg statsskuld skapar utrymme för Sverige att möta kriser utan att välfärden« (party programme ↗)“Stable public finances and low state debt create room for Sweden to meet crises without welfare”
- no to price regulation»Den fria marknadsekonomin är det mest framgångsrika ekonomiska system som« (party programme ↗)“The free market economy is the most successful economic system that”
- increased defence budgets»Vi vill därför redan 2025 se ett försvarsanslag om 2 procent av BNP« (2022 manifesto ↗)“We therefore want to see a defence budget of 2 per cent of GDP already in 2025”
Worldstate weighed in: Inflation 10.5 per cent and policy rate 3.5 per cent — Sharpens the plan's requirement for tight fiscal policy over new spending commitments
The plan establishes that low inflation rate shall be pursued with an independent central bank as the most important means, that public spending shall be characterized by restraint and that state control of wage formation is rejected.
Plan documents: party programme
Reasoning and quotes
The plan establishes that low inflation rate shall be pursued with an independent central bank as the most important means, that public spending shall be characterized by restraint and that state control of wage formation is rejected. A price commission and significantly increased spending in a situation of double-digit inflation goes against this, even though expanded fossil-free electricity production has support in the plan.
Original (Swedish)
Planen slår fast att låg inflationstakt ska eftersträvas med en självständig riksbank som viktigaste medel, att de offentliga utgifterna ska präglas av återhållsamhet och att statlig styrning av lönebildningen avvisas. En priskommission och kraftigt ökade utgifter i ett läge med tvåsiffrig inflation går emot detta, även om utbyggd fossilfri elproduktion har stöd i planen.
- low inflationdecisive»Därför ska låg inflationstakt eftersträvas.« (party programme ↗)“Therefore, low inflation rate shall be pursued.”
- independent central bank»en självständig riksbank med ett uttalat ansvar« (party programme ↗)“an independent central bank with an explicit responsibility”
- restrained spending»återhållsamhet i de offentliga utgifterna.« (party programme ↗)“restraint in public spending.”
- no state price control»Statlig styrning av lönebildningen i form av inkomstpolitik avvisas.« (party programme ↗)“State control of wage formation in the form of incomes policy is rejected.”
Worldstate weighed in: Inflation of 10.5 per cent and policy rate of 3.5 per cent — Strengthens the plan's requirements for restraint and low inflation rate; Economic downturn with rising unemployment — Provides some support for the plan's requirement for jobs for all, but not for price regulation
The plan's decisive commitment in the economic situation is order and stability: the surplus target shall be protected, all new reforms shall be financed and no government can compensate for all price increases.
Plan documents: 2022 manifesto
Reasoning and quotes
The plan's decisive commitment in the economic situation is order and stability: the surplus target shall be protected, all new reforms shall be financed and no government can compensate for all price increases. The counter-proposal's price commission and broad spending increases go against that line, even though the plan shares the requirement for increased defence spending and more fossil-free electricity. The plan therefore speaks against the counter-proposal in substance.
Original (Swedish)
Planens avgörande åtagande i det ekonomiska läget är ordning och reda: överskottsmålet ska värnas, alla nya reformer ska finansieras och ingen regering kan kompensera för alla prishöjningar. Motförslagets priskommission och breda utgiftsökningar går emot den linjen, även om planen delar kravet på höjda försvarsanslag och mer fossilfri el. Planen talar därför mot motförslaget i sak.
- protected surplus targetdecisive»Överskottsmålet ska värnas och det är inte aktuellt att övergå till ett balansmål.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The surplus target shall be protected and it is not current to switch to a balance target.”
- no price compensation policy»Ingen regering kan kompensera för alla prishöjningar men vi kan städa undan de värsta misstagen som begåtts under de senaste åren.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“No government can compensate for all price increases but we can clear away the worst mistakes made in recent years.”
- prioritisation before spending increases»De stora behoven inom rättsväsendet, försvaret och välfärden ställer stora krav på prioriteringar under åren som kommer.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“The great needs within the justice system, defence and welfare place great demands on prioritisations in the years to come.”
- increased defence spending»Verka för att försvarsanslagen uppgår till motsvarande 2 procent av BNP redan år 2025« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Work for defence spending to amount to 2 percent of GDP already in 2025”
Worldstate weighed in: Inflation 9.7 percent and policy rate 3.75 percent — Sharpens the plan's demands for restrained and financed fiscal policy; GDP indicator around zero and falling business cycle barometer — Increases pressure for labour market measures but does not change budget discipline
The party programme makes sound public finances and the surplus target into basic prerequisites, and the election manifesto wants to review public expenditures and redirect funds rather than inject new ones.
Plan documents: party programme · 2022 manifesto
Reasoning and quotes
The party programme makes sound public finances and the surplus target into basic prerequisites, and the election manifesto wants to review public expenditures and redirect funds rather than inject new ones. The plan also wants to abolish ineffective labor market programs and defends market economy, which speaks against both a price commission and increased labor market investments. With inflation near ten percent these commitments carry even more weight, and the plan therefore rejects the counter-proposal's package.
Original (Swedish)
Principprogrammet gör sunda statsfinanser och överskottsmålet till grundförutsättningar, och valmanifestet vill se över offentliga utgifter och rikta om medel snarare än att skjuta till nya. Planen vill dessutom avskaffa ineffektiva arbetsmarknadsprogram och försvarar marknadsekonomin, vilket talar mot både en priskommission och ökade arbetsmarknadssatsningar. Med inflationen nära tio procent väger dessa åtaganden än tyngre, och planen avvisar därför motförslagets paket.
- sound public financesdecisive»Sunda statsfinanser och respekt för målet om överskott« (party programme ↗)“Sound public finances and respect for the surplus target”
- against ineffective labor market programs»Avskaffa ineffektiva arbetsmarknads- och integrationsprogram som är skapade för att dölja arbetslöshet« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Abolish ineffective labor market and integration programs that are created to hide unemployment”
- reprioritize expenditures»Se över offentliga utgifter och rikta om medel till välfärden och rättsväsendet« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Review public expenditures and redirect funds to welfare and the justice system”
- market economy is defended»Sverigedemokraterna ser att marknadsekonomi, valfrihet inom välfärden och internationell handel gynnar samhället och är viktigt att försvara, men kan samtidigt se att stora välstånd som skapas måste komma fler till del.« (2022 manifesto ↗)“Sweden Democrats see that market economy, choice within welfare, and international trade benefit society and are important to defend, but can at the same time see that great wealth that is created must come to more people's share.”
Worldstate weighed in: Inflation around ten percent and weak economic conditions — Strengthens the plan's demand for sound public finances and speaks against new expenditure increases.
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Sources and documents
- The committee report on riksdagen.se (2022/23:FiU20)
- Committee report full text (HA01FiU20)
- Per-MP voting data (API)
- Case status (API)
Documents under consideration
- Motion 2022/23:1121 — Fler företag, fler jobb och stärkt konkurrenskraft i hela landet av Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist m.fl. (C)
- Motion 2022/23:1162 — Nationella mål för jämlikhet av Joakim Järrebring (S)
- Motion 2022/23:1313 — Klimatperspektiv i finanspolitiken av Mathias Tegnér (S)
- Motion 2022/23:2175 — En klimatpolitik som står upp för Parisavtalet av Per Bolund m.fl. (MP)
- Motion 2022/23:2383 — med anledning av prop. 2022/23:100 2023 års ekonomiska vårproposition av Per Bolund m.fl. (MP)
- Motion 2022/23:2385 — med anledning av prop. 2022/23:100 2023 års ekonomiska vårproposition av Nooshi Dadgostar m.fl. (V)
- Motion 2022/23:2388 — med anledning av prop. 2022/23:100 2023 års ekonomiska vårproposition av Magdalena Andersson m.fl. (S)
- Motion 2022/23:2389 — med anledning av prop. 2022/23:100 2023 års ekonomiska vårproposition av Martin Ådahl m.fl. (C)
- Motion 2022/23:615 — Modernisering av det finanspolitiska ramverket av Markus Kallifatides (S)
- Proposition 2022/23:100 — 2023 års ekonomiska vårproposition
Source: The Swedish Parliament